UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
19%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.092.303.39safe0.12–2.061.45–3.161.57–5.21safer0.00–2.311.22–3.381.09–5.69
Shots on target
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.826.6210.44safe1.95–5.684.88–8.366.83–14.04safer1.46–6.174.41–8.835.87–15.00
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5117.1127.61safe6.58–14.4313.54–20.6720.13–35.10safer5.49–15.5212.58–21.6318.08–37.15
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.2212.3819.60safe4.28–10.179.70–15.0613.98–25.23safer3.45–11.008.96–15.8012.41–26.79
Blocked shots
18%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.105.188.28safe1.22–4.983.53–6.834.74–11.81safer0.67–5.523.03–7.323.71–12.85
Corners
18%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.856.2510.09safe1.63–6.064.25–8.255.88–14.31safer1.06–6.633.71–8.784.77–15.41
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction35.3565.88safe28.56–42.1459.10–72.67safer26.89–43.8157.43–74.34
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3616711032safe294–428605–738898–1166safer275–446587–755863–1201
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction70.7684.10safe66.73–74.7979.78–88.43safer65.44–76.0878.47–89.74
Fouls
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction9.959.3619.31safe7.11–12.796.42–12.3013.53–25.09safer6.36–13.555.67–13.0512.03–26.60
Offsides
44%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.161.934.09safe1.00–3.320.84–3.031.84–6.35safer0.70–3.620.55–3.311.25–6.94
Yellow cards
38%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.763.48safe0.68–2.770.63–2.891.30–5.66safer0.41–3.040.34–3.180.75–6.22
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.242.446.68safe2.80–5.670.89–4.003.69–9.68safer2.41–6.060.46–4.432.88–10.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.12–2.06 0.00–2.31 | 2.30 1.45–3.16 1.22–3.38 | 3.39 1.57–5.21 1.09–5.69 | 17% 19% 65% |
| Shots on target | 3.82 1.95–5.68 1.46–6.17 | 6.62 4.88–8.36 4.41–8.83 | 10.44 6.83–14.04 5.87–15.00 | 15% 76% |
| Total shots | 10.51 6.58–14.43 5.49–15.52 | 17.11 13.54–20.67 12.58–21.63 | 27.61 20.13–35.10 18.08–37.15 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 7.22 4.28–10.17 3.45–11.00 | 12.38 9.70–15.06 8.96–15.80 | 19.60 13.98–25.23 12.41–26.79 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 3.10 1.22–4.98 0.67–5.52 | 5.18 3.53–6.83 3.03–7.32 | 8.28 4.74–11.81 3.71–12.85 | 18% 71% |
| Corners | 3.85 1.63–6.06 1.06–6.63 | 6.25 4.25–8.25 3.71–8.78 | 10.09 5.88–14.31 4.77–15.41 | 18% 73% |
| Possession % | 35.35 28.56–42.14 26.89–43.81 | 65.88 59.10–72.67 57.43–74.34 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 361 294–428 275–446 | 671 605–738 587–755 | 1032 898–1166 863–1201 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.76 66.73–74.79 65.44–76.08 | 84.10 79.78–88.43 78.47–89.74 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 9.95 7.11–12.79 6.36–13.55 | 9.36 6.42–12.30 5.67–13.05 | 19.31 13.53–25.09 12.03–26.60 | 51% 40% |
| Offsides | 2.16 1.00–3.32 0.70–3.62 | 1.93 0.84–3.03 0.55–3.31 | 4.09 1.84–6.35 1.25–6.94 | 44% 20% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.68–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.75–6.22 | 38% 22% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.24 2.80–5.67 2.41–6.06 | 2.44 0.89–4.00 0.46–4.43 | 6.68 3.69–9.68 2.88–10.49 | 69% 18% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+