Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
17%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.541.053.59safe1.58–3.510.19–1.901.77–5.42safer1.32–3.760.00–2.131.29–5.90
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.163.5710.72safe5.29–9.021.83–5.317.12–14.33safer4.80–9.511.36–5.786.16–15.28
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction18.4610.6029.06safe14.53–22.387.04–14.1621.57–36.55safer13.44–23.476.08–15.1219.52–38.60
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction13.366.3019.66safe10.42–16.303.62–8.9814.04–25.28safer9.59–17.132.88–9.7212.47–26.85
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.832.577.40safe2.94–6.710.92–4.233.86–10.94safer2.40–7.250.43–4.722.83–11.97
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.143.3010.44safe4.93–9.361.30–5.306.23–14.65safer4.36–9.930.76–5.835.12–15.76
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction61.1737.65safe54.38–67.9630.87–44.43safer52.71–69.6329.19–46.11
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction612376987safe544–679309–442854–1121safer526–697292–460818–1157
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction81.0472.80safe77.01–85.0668.48–77.13safer75.71–86.3667.17–78.44
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8111.2121.01safe6.97–12.648.26–14.1515.23–26.80safer6.21–13.407.51–14.9013.73–28.30
Offsides
59%
20%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.241.293.52safe1.08–3.400.19–2.381.27–5.78safer0.77–3.700.00–2.670.68–6.37
Yellow cards
27%
24%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.732.94safe0.16–2.260.60–2.860.76–5.11safer0.00–2.520.31–3.150.20–5.67
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
17%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.514.547.05safe1.07–3.942.99–6.104.06–10.04safer0.68–4.332.56–6.523.25–10.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.54 1.58–3.51 1.32–3.76 | 1.05 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 3.59 1.77–5.42 1.29–5.90 | 70% 17% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.16 5.29–9.02 4.80–9.51 | 3.57 1.83–5.31 1.36–5.78 | 10.72 7.12–14.33 6.16–15.28 | 83% |
| Total shots | 18.46 14.53–22.38 13.44–23.47 | 10.60 7.04–14.16 6.08–15.12 | 29.06 21.57–36.55 19.52–38.60 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 13.36 10.42–16.30 9.59–17.13 | 6.30 3.62–8.98 2.88–9.72 | 19.66 14.04–25.28 12.47–26.85 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 4.83 2.94–6.71 2.40–7.25 | 2.57 0.92–4.23 0.43–4.72 | 7.40 3.86–10.94 2.83–11.97 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 7.14 4.93–9.36 4.36–9.93 | 3.30 1.30–5.30 0.76–5.83 | 10.44 6.23–14.65 5.12–15.76 | 85% |
| Possession % | 61.17 54.38–67.96 52.71–69.63 | 37.65 30.87–44.43 29.19–46.11 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 612 544–679 526–697 | 376 309–442 292–460 | 987 854–1121 818–1157 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.04 77.01–85.06 75.71–86.36 | 72.80 68.48–77.13 67.17–78.44 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 9.81 6.97–12.64 6.21–13.40 | 11.21 8.26–14.15 7.51–14.90 | 21.01 15.23–26.80 13.73–28.30 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.24 1.08–3.40 0.77–3.70 | 1.29 0.19–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 3.52 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 59% 20% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.21 0.16–2.26 0.00–2.52 | 1.73 0.60–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 2.94 0.76–5.11 0.20–5.67 | 27% 24% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.07–3.94 0.68–4.33 | 4.54 2.99–6.10 2.56–6.52 | 7.05 4.06–10.04 3.25–10.85 | 17% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.