UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 8·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
71%
16%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.641.083.72safe1.67–3.610.23–1.931.90–5.54safer1.42–3.860.00–2.161.42–6.02
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction7.434.0411.47safe5.57–9.292.30–5.787.87–15.08safer5.08–9.781.83–6.256.91–16.03
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction18.1510.6628.80safe14.22–22.077.09–14.2221.32–36.29safer13.13–23.166.13–15.1819.26–38.34
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction12.846.8219.66safe9.90–15.784.14–9.5014.04–25.29safer9.07–16.613.40–10.2412.47–26.85
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.642.877.51safe2.76–6.521.22–4.523.97–11.04safer2.21–7.060.72–5.012.94–12.08
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.053.2110.26safe4.84–9.261.21–5.216.05–14.48safer4.26–9.840.68–5.754.94–15.58
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction64.2136.50safe57.42–71.0029.71–43.28safer55.75–72.6728.04–44.95
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction6613591019safe594–728292–425886–1153safer575–746275–442850–1189
Pass accuracy %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction83.9077.49safe79.87–87.9373.16–81.81safer78.58–89.2271.85–83.12
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction9.1910.8320.03safe6.35–12.037.89–13.7814.24–25.81safer5.60–12.787.14–14.5312.74–27.31
Offsides
59%
16%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.182.135.31safe2.02–4.341.04–3.223.06–7.56safer1.72–4.640.75–3.512.47–8.15
Yellow cards
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.903.27safe0.32–2.420.77–3.031.09–5.45safer0.05–2.680.48–3.320.53–6.00
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
19%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.634.377.00safe1.19–4.062.81–5.924.00–9.99safer0.80–4.452.39–6.353.19–10.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.64 1.67–3.61 1.42–3.86 | 1.08 0.23–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 3.72 1.90–5.54 1.42–6.02 | 71% 16% 13% |
| Shots on target | 7.43 5.57–9.29 5.08–9.78 | 4.04 2.30–5.78 1.83–6.25 | 11.47 7.87–15.08 6.91–16.03 | 81% |
| Total shots | 18.15 14.22–22.07 13.13–23.16 | 10.66 7.09–14.22 6.13–15.18 | 28.80 21.32–36.29 19.26–38.34 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 12.84 9.90–15.78 9.07–16.61 | 6.82 4.14–9.50 3.40–10.24 | 19.66 14.04–25.29 12.47–26.85 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 4.64 2.76–6.52 2.21–7.06 | 2.87 1.22–4.52 0.72–5.01 | 7.51 3.97–11.04 2.94–12.08 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 7.05 4.84–9.26 4.26–9.84 | 3.21 1.21–5.21 0.68–5.75 | 10.26 6.05–14.48 4.94–15.58 | 85% |
| Possession % | 64.21 57.42–71.00 55.75–72.67 | 36.50 29.71–43.28 28.04–44.95 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 661 594–728 575–746 | 359 292–425 275–442 | 1019 886–1153 850–1189 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.90 79.87–87.93 78.58–89.22 | 77.49 73.16–81.81 71.85–83.12 | — | 78% 19% |
| Fouls | 9.19 6.35–12.03 5.60–12.78 | 10.83 7.89–13.78 7.14–14.53 | 20.03 14.24–25.81 12.74–27.31 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 3.18 2.02–4.34 1.72–4.64 | 2.13 1.04–3.22 0.75–3.51 | 5.31 3.06–7.56 2.47–8.15 | 59% 16% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.05–2.68 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.27 1.09–5.45 0.53–6.00 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.19–4.06 0.80–4.45 | 4.37 2.81–5.92 2.39–6.35 | 7.00 4.00–9.99 3.19–10.80 | 19% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.