UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.913.42safe0.55–2.481.05–2.761.60–5.24safer0.30–2.730.82–2.991.12–5.72
Shots on target
38%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction5.415.9711.38safe3.55–7.274.22–7.717.77–14.98safer3.06–7.763.76–8.186.82–15.94
Total shots
46%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5915.6431.23safe11.66–19.5112.08–19.2023.74–38.72safer10.57–20.6011.12–20.1621.69–40.77
Shots in box
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1810.0320.21safe7.24–13.137.35–12.7114.59–25.84safer6.41–13.966.61–13.4513.02–27.40
Blocked shots
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.534.368.89safe2.65–6.412.71–6.015.36–12.43safer2.11–6.962.21–6.504.32–13.46
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.364.9710.33safe3.15–7.572.97–6.976.12–14.54safer2.57–8.152.44–7.505.01–15.65
Possession %
38%
58%
homeawayprediction48.1652.53safe41.37–54.9545.74–59.31safer39.70–56.6244.07–60.98
Passes
30%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction449510959safe382–516444–577826–1093safer364–534426–594790–1129
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction70.8277.27safe66.79–74.8572.95–81.60safer65.50–76.1471.64–82.91
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7811.6321.41safe6.95–12.628.68–14.5715.63–27.19safer6.19–13.387.93–15.3214.12–28.70
Offsides
14%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction1.313.174.49safe0.15–2.472.08–4.272.23–6.74safer0.00–2.771.79–4.561.64–7.33
Yellow cards
38%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.883.68safe0.75–2.850.75–3.011.50–5.86safer0.48–3.120.46–3.300.94–6.41
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.993.627.60safe2.55–5.422.06–5.174.61–10.59safer2.16–5.811.64–5.603.80–11.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 0.55–2.48 0.30–2.73 | 1.91 1.05–2.76 0.82–2.99 | 3.42 1.60–5.24 1.12–5.72 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Shots on target | 5.41 3.55–7.27 3.06–7.76 | 5.97 4.22–7.71 3.76–8.18 | 11.38 7.77–14.98 6.82–15.94 | 38% 51% |
| Total shots | 15.59 11.66–19.51 10.57–20.60 | 15.64 12.08–19.20 11.12–20.16 | 31.23 23.74–38.72 21.69–40.77 | 46% 47% |
| Shots in box | 10.18 7.24–13.13 6.41–13.96 | 10.03 7.35–12.71 6.61–13.45 | 20.21 14.59–25.84 13.02–27.40 | 47% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 4.53 2.65–6.41 2.11–6.96 | 4.36 2.71–6.01 2.21–6.50 | 8.89 5.36–12.43 4.32–13.46 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Corners | 5.36 3.15–7.57 2.57–8.15 | 4.97 2.97–6.97 2.44–7.50 | 10.33 6.12–14.54 5.01–15.65 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 48.16 41.37–54.95 39.70–56.62 | 52.53 45.74–59.31 44.07–60.98 | — | 38% 58% |
| Passes | 449 382–516 364–534 | 510 444–577 426–594 | 959 826–1093 790–1129 | 30% 69% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.82 66.79–74.85 65.50–76.14 | 77.27 72.95–81.60 71.64–82.91 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 9.78 6.95–12.62 6.19–13.38 | 11.63 8.68–14.57 7.93–15.32 | 21.41 15.63–27.19 14.12–28.70 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.31 0.15–2.47 0.00–2.77 | 3.17 2.08–4.27 1.79–4.56 | 4.49 2.23–6.74 1.64–7.33 | 14% 74% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.48–3.12 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.68 1.50–5.86 0.94–6.41 | 38% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.99 2.55–5.42 2.16–5.81 | 3.62 2.06–5.17 1.64–5.60 | 7.60 4.61–10.59 3.80–11.41 | 48% 15% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.