UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
20%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.221.303.52safe1.25–3.180.45–2.151.69–5.34safer1.00–3.440.22–2.381.21–5.82
Shots on target
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.394.2410.63safe4.53–8.252.50–5.987.03–14.24safer4.04–8.742.03–6.456.07–15.19
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction17.0712.8829.95safe13.15–21.009.32–16.4422.47–37.44safer12.06–22.098.36–17.4020.42–39.49
Shots in box
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction11.458.2519.69safe8.50–14.395.57–10.9314.07–25.32safer7.67–15.224.83–11.6712.50–26.88
Blocked shots
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.263.137.39safe2.38–6.151.47–4.783.86–10.93safer1.84–6.690.98–5.272.82–11.96
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.904.2510.15safe3.68–8.112.25–6.255.94–14.36safer3.11–8.681.72–6.794.83–15.47
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction55.1345.50safe48.34–61.9238.72–52.29safer46.67–63.5937.05–53.96
Passes
82%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction544432976safe477–611366–499842–1110safer458–629348–516807–1145
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction72.4773.91safe68.44–76.5069.58–78.23safer67.15–77.8068.27–79.54
Fouls
21%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7813.1322.91safe6.95–12.6210.19–16.0817.13–28.70safer6.19–13.389.44–16.8215.63–30.20
Offsides
56%
19%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.441.614.05safe1.28–3.600.52–2.711.80–6.30safer0.98–3.900.23–2.991.21–6.89
Yellow cards
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.273.94safe0.62–2.721.14–3.401.76–6.12safer0.35–2.980.85–3.691.20–6.67
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
28%
14%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.174.217.38safe1.73–4.602.66–5.774.39–10.37safer1.34–4.992.23–6.193.58–11.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.22 1.25–3.18 1.00–3.44 | 1.30 0.45–2.15 0.22–2.38 | 3.52 1.69–5.34 1.21–5.82 | 58% 20% 22% |
| Shots on target | 6.39 4.53–8.25 4.04–8.74 | 4.24 2.50–5.98 2.03–6.45 | 10.63 7.03–14.24 6.07–15.19 | 69% 21% |
| Total shots | 17.07 13.15–21.00 12.06–22.09 | 12.88 9.32–16.44 8.36–17.40 | 29.95 22.47–37.44 20.42–39.49 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 11.45 8.50–14.39 7.67–15.22 | 8.25 5.57–10.93 4.83–11.67 | 19.69 14.07–25.32 12.50–26.88 | 73% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 4.26 2.38–6.15 1.84–6.69 | 3.13 1.47–4.78 0.98–5.27 | 7.39 3.86–10.93 2.82–11.96 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 5.90 3.68–8.11 3.11–8.68 | 4.25 2.25–6.25 1.72–6.79 | 10.15 5.94–14.36 4.83–15.47 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 55.13 48.34–61.92 46.67–63.59 | 45.50 38.72–52.29 37.05–53.96 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 544 477–611 458–629 | 432 366–499 348–516 | 976 842–1110 807–1145 | 82% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.47 68.44–76.50 67.15–77.80 | 73.91 69.58–78.23 68.27–79.54 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 9.78 6.95–12.62 6.19–13.38 | 13.13 10.19–16.08 9.44–16.82 | 22.91 17.13–28.70 15.63–30.20 | 21% 72% |
| Offsides | 2.44 1.28–3.60 0.98–3.90 | 1.61 0.52–2.71 0.23–2.99 | 4.05 1.80–6.30 1.21–6.89 | 56% 19% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.98 | 2.27 1.14–3.40 0.85–3.69 | 3.94 1.76–6.12 1.20–6.67 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.17 1.73–4.60 1.34–4.99 | 4.21 2.66–5.77 2.23–6.19 | 7.38 4.39–10.37 3.58–11.18 | 28% 14% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.