Predicted match statistics
Goals
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.863.023.88safe0.00–1.832.16–3.872.06–5.71safer0.00–2.081.94–4.101.58–6.18
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction3.268.1011.36safe1.40–5.126.35–9.847.75–14.96safer0.91–5.615.89–10.316.80–15.92
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction8.8420.8929.73safe4.91–12.7617.33–24.4522.24–37.21safer3.82–13.8516.37–25.4120.19–39.26
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction5.9813.6919.67safe3.04–8.9311.01–16.3714.05–25.29safer2.21–9.7510.27–17.1012.48–26.86
Blocked shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction1.845.307.15safe0.00–3.733.65–6.963.61–10.68safer0.00–4.273.16–7.452.57–11.72
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.396.579.95safe1.18–5.604.57–8.575.74–14.17safer0.60–6.184.03–9.104.63–15.28
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction24.8174.17safe18.02–31.6067.39–80.95safer16.35–33.2765.71–82.63
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction2727481020safe204–339682–815886–1154safer186–357664–832850–1189
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction62.0985.81safe58.06–66.1281.49–90.13safer56.77–67.4180.18–91.44
Fouls
65%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction11.299.0520.33safe8.45–14.136.10–11.9914.55–26.12safer7.69–14.885.35–12.7413.05–27.62
Offsides
74%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction3.891.845.73safe2.73–5.050.75–2.943.48–7.98safer2.43–5.350.46–3.222.89–8.57
Yellow cards
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.563.38safe0.77–2.860.43–2.691.20–5.55safer0.50–3.130.14–2.980.64–6.11
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction4.992.347.33safe3.55–6.430.78–3.894.33–10.32safer3.17–6.810.36–4.323.52–11.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.86 0.00–1.83 0.00–2.08 | 3.02 2.16–3.87 1.94–4.10 | 3.88 2.06–5.71 1.58–6.18 | 80% |
| Shots on target | 3.26 1.40–5.12 0.91–5.61 | 8.10 6.35–9.84 5.89–10.31 | 11.36 7.75–14.96 6.80–15.92 | 91% |
| Total shots | 8.84 4.91–12.76 3.82–13.85 | 20.89 17.33–24.45 16.37–25.41 | 29.73 22.24–37.21 20.19–39.26 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 5.98 3.04–8.93 2.21–9.75 | 13.69 11.01–16.37 10.27–17.10 | 19.67 14.05–25.29 12.48–26.86 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 1.84 0.00–3.73 0.00–4.27 | 5.30 3.65–6.96 3.16–7.45 | 7.15 3.61–10.68 2.57–11.72 | 87% |
| Corners | 3.39 1.18–5.60 0.60–6.18 | 6.57 4.57–8.57 4.03–9.10 | 9.95 5.74–14.17 4.63–15.28 | 80% |
| Possession % | 24.81 18.02–31.60 16.35–33.27 | 74.17 67.39–80.95 65.71–82.63 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 272 204–339 186–357 | 748 682–815 664–832 | 1020 886–1154 850–1189 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.09 58.06–66.12 56.77–67.41 | 85.81 81.49–90.13 80.18–91.44 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 11.29 8.45–14.13 7.69–14.88 | 9.05 6.10–11.99 5.35–12.74 | 20.33 14.55–26.12 13.05–27.62 | 65% 27% |
| Offsides | 3.89 2.73–5.05 2.43–5.35 | 1.84 0.75–2.94 0.46–3.22 | 5.73 3.48–7.98 2.89–8.57 | 74% 14% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.77–2.86 0.50–3.13 | 1.56 0.43–2.69 0.14–2.98 | 3.38 1.20–5.55 0.64–6.11 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 4.99 3.55–6.43 3.17–6.81 | 2.34 0.78–3.89 0.36–4.32 | 7.33 4.33–10.32 3.52–11.13 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+