Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
21%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.032.003.03safe0.06–2.001.14–2.851.21–4.85safer0.00–2.250.92–3.080.73–5.33
Shots on target
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.075.289.35safe2.21–5.933.54–7.025.74–12.95safer1.72–6.423.07–7.494.79–13.91
Total shots
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3714.3728.74safe10.44–18.2910.81–17.9321.25–36.23safer9.35–19.389.85–18.8919.20–38.28
Shots in box
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction9.119.7818.89safe6.17–12.057.10–12.4613.26–24.51safer5.34–12.886.36–13.2011.70–26.08
Blocked shots
46%
14%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.203.948.13safe2.31–6.082.29–5.594.60–11.67safer1.77–6.621.79–6.083.56–12.70
Corners
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.805.3010.10safe2.58–7.013.30–7.305.89–14.31safer2.01–7.582.77–7.844.78–15.42
Possession %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction41.9956.10safe35.20–48.7849.31–62.88safer33.53–50.4547.64–64.55
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction392531923safe325–459464–597789–1056safer306–477447–615753–1092
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction70.1476.19safe66.11–74.1671.86–80.51safer64.81–75.4670.56–81.82
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6911.3222.02safe7.86–13.538.38–14.2716.23–27.80safer7.10–14.297.63–15.0214.73–29.30
Offsides
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.713.18safe0.31–2.630.62–2.800.92–5.43safer0.01–2.930.33–3.090.33–6.02
Yellow cards
38%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.723.40safe0.62–2.720.60–2.851.22–5.58safer0.36–2.990.30–3.140.66–6.13
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.232.806.03safe1.80–4.671.24–4.353.04–9.02safer1.41–5.060.81–4.782.23–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.03 0.06–2.00 0.00–2.25 | 2.00 1.14–2.85 0.92–3.08 | 3.03 1.21–4.85 0.73–5.33 | 19% 21% 60% |
| Shots on target | 4.07 2.21–5.93 1.72–6.42 | 5.28 3.54–7.02 3.07–7.49 | 9.35 5.74–12.95 4.79–13.91 | 29% 59% |
| Total shots | 14.37 10.44–18.29 9.35–19.38 | 14.37 10.81–17.93 9.85–18.89 | 28.74 21.25–36.23 19.20–38.28 | 46% 46% |
| Shots in box | 9.11 6.17–12.05 5.34–12.88 | 9.78 7.10–12.46 6.36–13.20 | 18.89 13.26–24.51 11.70–26.08 | 39% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 4.20 2.31–6.08 1.77–6.62 | 3.94 2.29–5.59 1.79–6.08 | 8.13 4.60–11.67 3.56–12.70 | 46% 14% 39% |
| Corners | 4.80 2.58–7.01 2.01–7.58 | 5.30 3.30–7.30 2.77–7.84 | 10.10 5.89–14.31 4.78–15.42 | 37% 50% |
| Possession % | 41.99 35.20–48.78 33.53–50.45 | 56.10 49.31–62.88 47.64–64.55 | — | 19% 78% |
| Passes | 392 325–459 306–477 | 531 464–597 447–615 | 923 789–1056 753–1092 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.14 66.11–74.16 64.81–75.46 | 76.19 71.86–80.51 70.56–81.82 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 10.69 7.86–13.53 7.10–14.29 | 11.32 8.38–14.27 7.63–15.02 | 22.02 16.23–27.80 14.73–29.30 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.01–2.93 | 1.71 0.62–2.80 0.33–3.09 | 3.18 0.92–5.43 0.33–6.02 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 1.72 0.60–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.40 1.22–5.58 0.66–6.13 | 38% 23% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.23 1.80–4.67 1.41–5.06 | 2.80 1.24–4.35 0.81–4.78 | 6.03 3.04–9.02 2.23–9.83 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+