UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 8·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.332.053.38safe0.36–2.291.20–2.911.56–5.20safer0.11–2.550.97–3.141.08–5.68
Shots on target
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.355.499.84safe2.49–6.213.75–7.236.23–13.44safer2.00–6.703.28–7.705.28–14.40
Total shots
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4914.1427.63safe9.57–17.4210.58–17.7020.15–35.12safer8.48–18.519.62–18.6618.10–37.17
Shots in box
34%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction8.349.5317.87safe5.40–11.286.84–12.2112.24–23.49safer4.57–12.116.11–12.9410.68–25.06
Blocked shots
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.064.528.58safe2.18–5.942.87–6.185.05–12.12safer1.64–6.492.38–6.674.01–13.16
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.014.949.95safe2.80–7.222.94–6.945.74–14.16safer2.22–7.802.41–7.474.63–15.27
Possession %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction46.4553.30safe39.66–53.2446.51–60.08safer37.99–54.9144.84–61.75
Passes
31%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction447506953safe380–515439–572819–1087safer362–533422–590784–1123
Pass accuracy %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction74.2777.94safe70.25–78.3073.62–82.27safer68.95–79.6072.31–83.58
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1010.7822.87safe9.26–14.937.83–13.7217.09–28.66safer8.50–15.697.08–14.4715.59–30.16
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.643.26safe0.45–2.770.55–2.741.01–5.51safer0.15–3.080.26–3.030.42–6.10
Yellow cards
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.833.90safe1.02–3.120.70–2.961.72–6.08safer0.76–3.390.41–3.251.17–6.64
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.080.20safe0.00–0.280.00–0.270.00–0.55safer0.00–0.430.00–0.400.00–0.83
GK saves
53%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.552.866.41safe2.12–4.991.30–4.423.42–9.40safer1.73–5.380.88–4.842.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.29 0.11–2.55 | 2.05 1.20–2.91 0.97–3.14 | 3.38 1.56–5.20 1.08–5.68 | 24% 21% 54% |
| Shots on target | 4.35 2.49–6.21 2.00–6.70 | 5.49 3.75–7.23 3.28–7.70 | 9.84 6.23–13.44 5.28–14.40 | 30% 58% |
| Total shots | 13.49 9.57–17.42 8.48–18.51 | 14.14 10.58–17.70 9.62–18.66 | 27.63 20.15–35.12 18.10–37.17 | 41% 51% |
| Shots in box | 8.34 5.40–11.28 4.57–12.11 | 9.53 6.84–12.21 6.11–12.94 | 17.87 12.24–23.49 10.68–25.06 | 34% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 4.06 2.18–5.94 1.64–6.49 | 4.52 2.87–6.18 2.38–6.67 | 8.58 5.05–12.12 4.01–13.16 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Corners | 5.01 2.80–7.22 2.22–7.80 | 4.94 2.94–6.94 2.41–7.47 | 9.95 5.74–14.16 4.63–15.27 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 46.45 39.66–53.24 37.99–54.91 | 53.30 46.51–60.08 44.84–61.75 | — | 32% 64% |
| Passes | 447 380–515 362–533 | 506 439–572 422–590 | 953 819–1087 784–1123 | 31% 69% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.27 70.25–78.30 68.95–79.60 | 77.94 73.62–82.27 72.31–83.58 | — | 30% 66% |
| Fouls | 12.10 9.26–14.93 8.50–15.69 | 10.78 7.83–13.72 7.08–14.47 | 22.87 17.09–28.66 15.59–30.16 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.08 | 1.64 0.55–2.74 0.26–3.03 | 3.26 1.01–5.51 0.42–6.10 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.07 1.02–3.12 0.76–3.39 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.90 1.72–6.08 1.17–6.64 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.55 2.12–4.99 1.73–5.38 | 2.86 1.30–4.42 0.88–4.84 | 6.41 3.42–9.40 2.61–10.22 | 53% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.