UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
25%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.502.72safe0.26–2.190.65–2.350.90–4.55safer0.01–2.440.42–2.580.42–5.03
Shots on target
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.274.328.59safe2.41–6.132.58–6.064.99–12.20safer1.92–6.622.11–6.534.03–13.15
Total shots
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0312.6925.72safe9.10–16.959.13–16.2518.23–33.21safer8.01–18.048.17–17.2116.18–35.26
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction8.168.3716.53safe5.22–11.105.69–11.0510.91–22.15safer4.39–11.934.95–11.799.34–23.72
Blocked shots
44%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.613.487.09safe1.73–5.491.83–5.133.55–10.62safer1.18–6.031.33–5.622.52–11.66
Corners
46%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.704.509.20safe2.48–6.912.50–6.504.98–13.41safer1.91–7.491.96–7.033.87–14.52
Possession %
38%
58%
homeawayprediction47.7251.92safe40.93–54.5145.14–58.71safer39.26–56.1843.47–60.38
Passes
44%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction418437855safe351–485370–503721–988safer333–503353–521685–1024
Pass accuracy %
25%
70%
homeawayprediction74.7479.40safe70.71–78.7775.08–83.72safer69.42–80.0673.77–85.03
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0414.0528.09safe11.20–16.8811.10–16.9922.31–33.87safer10.45–17.6310.36–17.7420.80–35.38
Offsides
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.673.19safe0.36–2.680.58–2.760.93–5.44safer0.06–2.980.29–3.050.34–6.03
Yellow cards
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.602.865.45safe1.55–3.651.73–3.983.27–7.63safer1.28–3.911.43–4.282.72–8.19
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.110.24safe0.00–0.290.00–0.300.00–0.59safer0.00–0.440.00–0.430.00–0.87
GK saves
40%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.802.915.72safe1.37–4.241.36–4.472.73–8.71safer0.98–4.630.93–4.901.91–9.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.26–2.19 0.01–2.44 | 1.50 0.65–2.35 0.42–2.58 | 2.72 0.90–4.55 0.42–5.03 | 31% 25% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.27 2.41–6.13 1.92–6.62 | 4.32 2.58–6.06 2.11–6.53 | 8.59 4.99–12.20 4.03–13.15 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Total shots | 13.03 9.10–16.95 8.01–18.04 | 12.69 9.13–16.25 8.17–17.21 | 25.72 18.23–33.21 16.18–35.26 | 49% 43% |
| Shots in box | 8.16 5.22–11.10 4.39–11.93 | 8.37 5.69–11.05 4.95–11.79 | 16.53 10.91–22.15 9.34–23.72 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.61 1.73–5.49 1.18–6.03 | 3.48 1.83–5.13 1.33–5.62 | 7.09 3.55–10.62 2.52–11.66 | 44% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 4.70 2.48–6.91 1.91–7.49 | 4.50 2.50–6.50 1.96–7.03 | 9.20 4.98–13.41 3.87–14.52 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Possession % | 47.72 40.93–54.51 39.26–56.18 | 51.92 45.14–58.71 43.47–60.38 | — | 38% 58% |
| Passes | 418 351–485 333–503 | 437 370–503 353–521 | 855 721–988 685–1024 | 44% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.74 70.71–78.77 69.42–80.06 | 79.40 75.08–83.72 73.77–85.03 | — | 25% 70% |
| Fouls | 14.04 11.20–16.88 10.45–17.63 | 14.05 11.10–16.99 10.36–17.74 | 28.09 22.31–33.87 20.80–35.38 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 1.67 0.58–2.76 0.29–3.05 | 3.19 0.93–5.44 0.34–6.03 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 2.60 1.55–3.65 1.28–3.91 | 2.86 1.73–3.98 1.43–4.28 | 5.45 3.27–7.63 2.72–8.19 | 37% 17% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.80 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 2.91 1.36–4.47 0.93–4.90 | 5.72 2.73–8.71 1.91–9.52 | 40% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.