UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 5·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
22%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.933.14safe0.24–2.181.08–2.791.32–4.96safer0.00–2.430.85–3.010.84–5.44
Shots on target
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.975.579.53safe2.10–5.833.82–7.315.93–13.14safer1.61–6.323.36–7.784.97–14.09
Total shots
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0415.3927.43safe8.11–15.9611.83–18.9519.94–34.92safer7.02–17.0510.87–19.9117.89–36.97
Shots in box
23%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction7.9010.5618.45safe4.96–10.847.88–13.2412.83–24.08safer4.13–11.677.14–13.9711.26–25.64
Blocked shots
34%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.614.287.89safe1.73–5.492.63–5.944.36–11.43safer1.19–6.042.14–6.433.32–12.46
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.715.5910.29safe2.49–6.923.59–7.596.08–14.51safer1.92–7.493.05–8.124.97–15.61
Possession %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction41.4759.47safe34.68–48.2652.69–66.26safer33.01–49.9351.02–67.93
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction346510856safe278–413444–577722–990safer260–431426–594687–1025
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction64.3875.05safe60.35–68.4170.73–79.38safer59.06–69.7069.42–80.69
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5612.7726.32safe10.72–16.399.82–15.7120.54–32.10safer9.96–17.159.07–16.4619.03–33.61
Offsides
39%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.603.24safe0.48–2.800.50–2.690.99–5.49safer0.18–3.100.22–2.980.40–6.08
Yellow cards
41%
20%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.252.214.46safe1.20–3.301.08–3.342.28–6.64safer0.94–3.570.79–3.631.72–7.19
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
62%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.162.857.01safe2.72–5.591.29–4.414.02–10.00safer2.33–5.980.87–4.833.20–10.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.24–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.93 1.08–2.79 0.85–3.01 | 3.14 1.32–4.96 0.84–5.44 | 24% 22% 54% |
| Shots on target | 3.97 2.10–5.83 1.61–6.32 | 5.57 3.82–7.31 3.36–7.78 | 9.53 5.93–13.14 4.97–14.09 | 25% 64% |
| Total shots | 12.04 8.11–15.96 7.02–17.05 | 15.39 11.83–18.95 10.87–19.91 | 27.43 19.94–34.92 17.89–36.97 | 23% 71% |
| Shots in box | 7.90 4.96–10.84 4.13–11.67 | 10.56 7.88–13.24 7.14–13.97 | 18.45 12.83–24.08 11.26–25.64 | 23% 69% |
| Blocked shots | 3.61 1.73–5.49 1.19–6.04 | 4.28 2.63–5.94 2.14–6.43 | 7.89 4.36–11.43 3.32–12.46 | 34% 14% 52% |
| Corners | 4.71 2.49–6.92 1.92–7.49 | 5.59 3.59–7.59 3.05–8.12 | 10.29 6.08–14.51 4.97–15.61 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 41.47 34.68–48.26 33.01–49.93 | 59.47 52.69–66.26 51.02–67.93 | — | 13% 84% |
| Passes | 346 278–413 260–431 | 510 444–577 426–594 | 856 722–990 687–1025 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.38 60.35–68.41 59.06–69.70 | 75.05 70.73–79.38 69.42–80.69 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 13.56 10.72–16.39 9.96–17.15 | 12.77 9.82–15.71 9.07–16.46 | 26.32 20.54–32.10 19.03–33.61 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.60 0.50–2.69 0.22–2.98 | 3.24 0.99–5.49 0.40–6.08 | 39% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 2.25 1.20–3.30 0.94–3.57 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 4.46 2.28–6.64 1.72–7.19 | 41% 20% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 82% |
| GK saves | 4.16 2.72–5.59 2.33–5.98 | 2.85 1.29–4.41 0.87–4.83 | 7.01 4.02–10.00 3.20–10.81 | 62% 14% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.