UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 8·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.942.793.74safe0.00–1.911.94–3.651.91–5.56safer0.00–2.161.71–3.881.43–6.04
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction3.397.2210.61safe1.53–5.255.48–8.977.01–14.22safer1.04–5.745.01–9.436.05–15.18
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6218.1728.79safe6.69–14.5414.61–21.7321.30–36.28safer5.60–15.6313.65–22.6919.25–38.33
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction6.6612.6519.30safe3.72–9.609.96–15.3313.68–24.93safer2.89–10.439.23–16.0612.11–26.49
Blocked shots
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.175.158.31safe1.28–5.053.49–6.804.78–11.85safer0.74–5.593.00–7.293.74–12.88
Corners
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction3.806.4910.29safe1.58–6.014.49–8.496.07–14.50safer1.01–6.583.96–9.024.97–15.61
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction34.5165.81safe27.72–41.3059.02–72.59safer26.05–42.9757.35–74.26
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction336651987safe269–403584–717853–1121safer251–421567–735818–1156
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction75.6889.37safe71.65–79.7185.04–93.69safer70.36–81.0083.73–95.00
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4111.1920.60safe6.58–12.258.24–14.1314.82–26.38safer5.82–13.017.49–14.8813.31–27.89
Offsides
21%
16%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.783.004.78safe0.62–2.941.91–4.102.52–7.03safer0.31–3.241.62–4.381.94–7.62
Yellow cards
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.262.87safe0.56–2.660.13–2.390.69–5.05safer0.30–2.930.00–2.680.14–5.61
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
71%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.162.236.39safe2.73–5.600.67–3.793.40–9.39safer2.34–5.990.25–4.212.59–10.20
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.94 0.00–1.91 0.00–2.16 | 2.79 1.94–3.65 1.71–3.88 | 3.74 1.91–5.56 1.43–6.04 | 14% 76% |
| Shots on target | 3.39 1.53–5.25 1.04–5.74 | 7.22 5.48–8.97 5.01–9.43 | 10.61 7.01–14.22 6.05–15.18 | 85% |
| Total shots | 10.62 6.69–14.54 5.60–15.63 | 18.17 14.61–21.73 13.65–22.69 | 28.79 21.30–36.28 19.25–38.33 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 6.66 3.72–9.60 2.89–10.43 | 12.65 9.96–15.33 9.23–16.06 | 19.30 13.68–24.93 12.11–26.49 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 3.17 1.28–5.05 0.74–5.59 | 5.15 3.49–6.80 3.00–7.29 | 8.31 4.78–11.85 3.74–12.88 | 19% 70% |
| Corners | 3.80 1.58–6.01 1.01–6.58 | 6.49 4.49–8.49 3.96–9.02 | 10.29 6.07–14.50 4.97–15.61 | 16% 75% |
| Possession % | 34.51 27.72–41.30 26.05–42.97 | 65.81 59.02–72.59 57.35–74.26 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 336 269–403 251–421 | 651 584–717 567–735 | 987 853–1121 818–1156 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.68 71.65–79.71 70.36–81.00 | 89.37 85.04–93.69 83.73–95.00 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 9.41 6.58–12.25 5.82–13.01 | 11.19 8.24–14.13 7.49–14.88 | 20.60 14.82–26.38 13.31–27.89 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.31–3.24 | 3.00 1.91–4.10 1.62–4.38 | 4.78 2.52–7.03 1.94–7.62 | 21% 16% 63% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.30–2.93 | 1.26 0.13–2.39 0.00–2.68 | 2.87 0.69–5.05 0.14–5.61 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 4.16 2.73–5.60 2.34–5.99 | 2.23 0.67–3.79 0.25–4.21 | 6.39 3.40–9.39 2.59–10.20 | 71% 16% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+