UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
18%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction1.112.463.57safe0.15–2.081.61–3.321.75–5.40safer0.00–2.331.38–3.541.27–5.88
Shots on target
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.666.4310.10safe1.80–5.534.69–8.176.49–13.70safer1.31–6.024.22–8.645.54–14.66
Total shots
16%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7316.4528.19safe7.81–15.6612.89–20.0220.70–35.68safer6.72–16.7511.93–20.9818.65–37.73
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction7.3111.7719.09safe4.37–10.269.09–14.4513.46–24.71safer3.54–11.098.35–15.1911.90–26.28
Blocked shots
28%
13%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.554.708.25safe1.67–5.433.05–6.354.72–11.79safer1.13–5.982.56–6.853.68–12.82
Corners
22%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction4.126.1010.22safe1.91–6.344.10–8.106.01–14.43safer1.34–6.913.56–8.634.90–15.54
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction36.9863.52safe30.19–43.7756.73–70.30safer28.52–45.4455.06–71.97
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction330593923safe263–397527–660790–1057safer244–415509–677754–1093
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction65.6379.40safe61.60–69.6675.08–83.72safer60.31–70.9573.77–85.03
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1412.1223.26safe8.30–13.989.18–15.0717.48–29.04safer7.55–14.738.43–15.8115.97–30.55
Offsides
18%
17%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.352.654.00safe0.18–2.511.56–3.741.74–6.25safer0.00–2.811.27–4.031.15–6.84
Yellow cards
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.823.78safe0.91–3.010.69–2.951.61–5.96safer0.65–3.280.40–3.241.05–6.52
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.090.23safe0.00–0.300.00–0.280.00–0.58safer0.00–0.450.00–0.410.00–0.86
GK saves
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.992.546.53safe2.55–5.430.98–4.103.54–9.52safer2.17–5.810.56–4.522.73–10.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.11 0.15–2.08 0.00–2.33 | 2.46 1.61–3.32 1.38–3.54 | 3.57 1.75–5.40 1.27–5.88 | 15% 18% 67% |
| Shots on target | 3.66 1.80–5.53 1.31–6.02 | 6.43 4.69–8.17 4.22–8.64 | 10.10 6.49–13.70 5.54–14.66 | 15% 76% |
| Total shots | 11.73 7.81–15.66 6.72–16.75 | 16.45 12.89–20.02 11.93–20.98 | 28.19 20.70–35.68 18.65–37.73 | 16% 79% |
| Shots in box | 7.31 4.37–10.26 3.54–11.09 | 11.77 9.09–14.45 8.35–15.19 | 19.09 13.46–24.71 11.90–26.28 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 3.55 1.67–5.43 1.13–5.98 | 4.70 3.05–6.35 2.56–6.85 | 8.25 4.72–11.79 3.68–12.82 | 28% 13% 59% |
| Corners | 4.12 1.91–6.34 1.34–6.91 | 6.10 4.10–8.10 3.56–8.63 | 10.22 6.01–14.43 4.90–15.54 | 22% 68% |
| Possession % | 36.98 30.19–43.77 28.52–45.44 | 63.52 56.73–70.30 55.06–71.97 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 330 263–397 244–415 | 593 527–660 509–677 | 923 790–1057 754–1093 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.63 61.60–69.66 60.31–70.95 | 79.40 75.08–83.72 73.77–85.03 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.14 8.30–13.98 7.55–14.73 | 12.12 9.18–15.07 8.43–15.81 | 23.26 17.48–29.04 15.97–30.55 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.35 0.18–2.51 0.00–2.81 | 2.65 1.56–3.74 1.27–4.03 | 4.00 1.74–6.25 1.15–6.84 | 18% 17% 65% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.65–3.28 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.78 1.61–5.96 1.05–6.52 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.99 2.55–5.43 2.17–5.81 | 2.54 0.98–4.10 0.56–4.52 | 6.53 3.54–9.52 2.73–10.34 | 64% 14% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.