UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
24%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.643.13safe0.53–2.460.79–2.501.31–4.96safer0.27–2.710.56–2.720.83–5.44
Shots on target
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.485.5610.05safe2.62–6.353.82–7.316.44–13.65safer2.13–6.843.36–7.775.49–14.61
Total shots
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5715.3026.87safe7.65–15.5011.74–18.8619.39–34.36safer6.56–16.5910.78–19.8217.34–36.41
Shots in box
26%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction7.8610.0517.90safe4.92–10.807.36–12.7312.28–23.53safer4.09–11.636.63–13.4610.71–25.09
Blocked shots
25%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.733.976.70safe0.85–4.612.32–5.623.17–10.24safer0.31–5.161.83–6.122.13–11.27
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.335.139.46safe2.12–6.543.13–7.135.24–13.67safer1.54–7.122.59–7.664.14–14.78
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction35.0264.52safe28.23–41.8157.74–71.31safer26.56–43.4856.07–72.98
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction356638995safe289–424572–705861–1128safer271–442554–722825–1164
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction72.1184.43safe68.08–76.1480.11–88.76safer66.79–77.4378.80–90.07
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9812.3824.36safe9.14–14.829.44–15.3318.58–30.15safer8.39–15.578.69–16.0817.08–31.65
Offsides
83%
homeawaytotalprediction4.141.465.60safe2.98–5.300.37–2.553.34–7.85safer2.67–5.600.08–2.842.75–8.44
Yellow cards
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.182.234.42safe1.13–3.231.10–3.362.24–6.59safer0.87–3.500.81–3.651.68–7.15
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.130.23safe0.00–0.260.00–0.320.00–0.58safer0.00–0.410.00–0.450.00–0.86
GK saves
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.522.886.40safe2.08–4.951.32–4.443.41–9.39safer1.69–5.340.90–4.862.59–10.20
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.53–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.64 0.79–2.50 0.56–2.72 | 3.13 1.31–4.96 0.83–5.44 | 35% 24% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.48 2.62–6.35 2.13–6.84 | 5.56 3.82–7.31 3.36–7.77 | 10.05 6.44–13.65 5.49–14.61 | 31% 57% |
| Total shots | 11.57 7.65–15.50 6.56–16.59 | 15.30 11.74–18.86 10.78–19.82 | 26.87 19.39–34.36 17.34–36.41 | 21% 73% |
| Shots in box | 7.86 4.92–10.80 4.09–11.63 | 10.05 7.36–12.73 6.63–13.46 | 17.90 12.28–23.53 10.71–25.09 | 26% 65% |
| Blocked shots | 2.73 0.85–4.61 0.31–5.16 | 3.97 2.32–5.62 1.83–6.12 | 6.70 3.17–10.24 2.13–11.27 | 25% 14% 61% |
| Corners | 4.33 2.12–6.54 1.54–7.12 | 5.13 3.13–7.13 2.59–7.66 | 9.46 5.24–13.67 4.14–14.78 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 35.02 28.23–41.81 26.56–43.48 | 64.52 57.74–71.31 56.07–72.98 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 356 289–424 271–442 | 638 572–705 554–722 | 995 861–1128 825–1164 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.11 68.08–76.14 66.79–77.43 | 84.43 80.11–88.76 78.80–90.07 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 11.98 9.14–14.82 8.39–15.57 | 12.38 9.44–15.33 8.69–16.08 | 24.36 18.58–30.15 17.08–31.65 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 4.14 2.98–5.30 2.67–5.60 | 1.46 0.37–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 5.60 3.34–7.85 2.75–8.44 | 83% |
| Yellow cards | 2.18 1.13–3.23 0.87–3.50 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 4.42 2.24–6.59 1.68–7.15 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.52 2.08–4.95 1.69–5.34 | 2.88 1.32–4.44 0.90–4.86 | 6.40 3.41–9.39 2.59–10.20 | 52% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+