UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.583.28safe0.73–2.670.73–2.441.46–5.10safer0.48–2.920.50–2.660.98–5.58
Shots on target
53%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.945.2111.15safe4.08–7.803.47–6.957.55–14.76safer3.59–8.293.00–7.426.59–15.71
Total shots
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction16.9813.4430.42safe13.06–20.919.88–17.0022.93–37.91safer11.97–22.008.92–17.9620.88–39.96
Shots in box
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction11.239.5820.81safe8.28–14.176.90–12.2615.19–26.43safer7.46–15.006.16–13.0013.62–28.00
Blocked shots
48%
13%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.764.379.14safe2.88–6.652.72–6.035.60–12.67safer2.34–7.192.23–6.524.57–13.71
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.814.6710.48safe3.60–8.022.67–6.676.26–14.69safer3.02–8.602.13–7.205.16–15.80
Possession %
53%
43%
homeawayprediction51.5049.38safe44.71–58.3042.60–56.17safer43.04–59.9640.92–57.84
Passes
60%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction509480989safe442–577413–546856–1123safer424–595396–564820–1159
Pass accuracy %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction72.0975.97safe68.06–76.1271.64–80.29safer66.77–77.4270.33–81.60
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0811.2821.36safe7.24–12.928.34–14.2315.58–27.14safer6.49–13.677.59–14.9714.08–28.65
Offsides
47%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.513.40safe0.73–3.050.42–2.601.15–5.66safer0.43–3.350.13–2.890.56–6.25
Yellow cards
34%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.813.38safe0.52–2.610.68–2.941.20–5.56safer0.25–2.880.39–3.230.64–6.11
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
32%
15%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.073.756.82safe1.63–4.502.19–5.313.82–9.81safer1.24–4.891.77–5.733.01–10.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.70 0.73–2.67 0.48–2.92 | 1.58 0.73–2.44 0.50–2.66 | 3.28 1.46–5.10 0.98–5.58 | 41% 23% 36% |
| Shots on target | 5.94 4.08–7.80 3.59–8.29 | 5.21 3.47–6.95 3.00–7.42 | 11.15 7.55–14.76 6.59–15.71 | 53% 36% |
| Total shots | 16.98 13.06–20.91 11.97–22.00 | 13.44 9.88–17.00 8.92–17.96 | 30.42 22.93–37.91 20.88–39.96 | 71% 23% |
| Shots in box | 11.23 8.28–14.17 7.46–15.00 | 9.58 6.90–12.26 6.16–13.00 | 20.81 15.19–26.43 13.62–28.00 | 60% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 4.76 2.88–6.65 2.34–7.19 | 4.37 2.72–6.03 2.23–6.52 | 9.14 5.60–12.67 4.57–13.71 | 48% 13% 38% |
| Corners | 5.81 3.60–8.02 3.02–8.60 | 4.67 2.67–6.67 2.13–7.20 | 10.48 6.26–14.69 5.16–15.80 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 51.50 44.71–58.30 43.04–59.96 | 49.38 42.60–56.17 40.92–57.84 | — | 53% 43% |
| Passes | 509 442–577 424–595 | 480 413–546 396–564 | 989 856–1123 820–1159 | 60% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.09 68.06–76.12 66.77–77.42 | 75.97 71.64–80.29 70.33–81.60 | — | 29% 67% |
| Fouls | 10.08 7.24–12.92 6.49–13.67 | 11.28 8.34–14.23 7.59–14.97 | 21.36 15.58–27.14 14.08–28.65 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 1.51 0.42–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 3.40 1.15–5.66 0.56–6.25 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.52–2.61 0.25–2.88 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.38 1.20–5.56 0.64–6.11 | 34% 23% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.07 1.63–4.50 1.24–4.89 | 3.75 2.19–5.31 1.77–5.73 | 6.82 3.82–9.81 3.01–10.62 | 32% 15% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+