UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 2·Predicted match statistics
Goals
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.823.093.91safe0.00–1.792.24–3.952.09–5.74safer0.00–2.042.01–4.181.61–6.21
Shots on target
94%
homeawaytotalprediction2.818.5011.31safe0.95–4.676.75–10.247.70–14.91safer0.46–5.166.29–10.716.75–15.87
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction8.0319.6427.67safe4.11–11.9616.08–23.2020.19–35.16safer3.02–13.0515.12–24.1618.13–37.21
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction5.2113.7518.96safe2.27–8.1511.07–16.4313.34–24.59safer1.44–8.9810.34–17.1711.77–26.15
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction2.285.317.59safe0.40–4.163.66–6.964.05–11.12safer0.00–4.703.17–7.463.02–12.16
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction3.097.3110.39safe0.87–5.305.31–9.316.18–14.61safer0.30–5.884.77–9.845.07–15.72
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction29.4271.87safe22.63–36.2165.09–78.66safer20.96–37.8863.42–80.33
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3107551066safe243–377689–822932–1199safer225–396671–839896–1235
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction66.1986.82safe62.16–70.2282.49–91.14safer60.87–71.5181.18–92.45
Fouls
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction11.318.5719.88safe8.47–14.155.63–11.5214.10–25.67safer7.72–14.914.88–12.2612.60–27.17
Offsides
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.204.19safe0.83–3.151.11–3.291.94–6.44safer0.53–3.450.82–3.581.35–7.03
Yellow cards
57%
22%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.143.12safe0.93–3.030.01–2.270.94–5.30safer0.67–3.300.00–2.560.39–5.86
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.060.15safe0.00–0.260.00–0.250.00–0.50safer0.00–0.400.00–0.380.00–0.78
GK saves
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5.251.867.11safe3.81–6.690.30–3.414.11–10.10safer3.43–7.070.00–3.843.30–10.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.82 0.00–1.79 0.00–2.04 | 3.09 2.24–3.95 2.01–4.18 | 3.91 2.09–5.74 1.61–6.21 | 82% |
| Shots on target | 2.81 0.95–4.67 0.46–5.16 | 8.50 6.75–10.24 6.29–10.71 | 11.31 7.70–14.91 6.75–15.87 | 94% |
| Total shots | 8.03 4.11–11.96 3.02–13.05 | 19.64 16.08–23.20 15.12–24.16 | 27.67 20.19–35.16 18.13–37.21 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 5.21 2.27–8.15 1.44–8.98 | 13.75 11.07–16.43 10.34–17.17 | 18.96 13.34–24.59 11.77–26.15 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 2.28 0.40–4.16 0.00–4.70 | 5.31 3.66–6.96 3.17–7.46 | 7.59 4.05–11.12 3.02–12.16 | 82% |
| Corners | 3.09 0.87–5.30 0.30–5.88 | 7.31 5.31–9.31 4.77–9.84 | 10.39 6.18–14.61 5.07–15.72 | 88% |
| Possession % | 29.42 22.63–36.21 20.96–37.88 | 71.87 65.09–78.66 63.42–80.33 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 310 243–377 225–396 | 755 689–822 671–839 | 1066 932–1199 896–1235 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.19 62.16–70.22 60.87–71.51 | 86.82 82.49–91.14 81.18–92.45 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 11.31 8.47–14.15 7.72–14.91 | 8.57 5.63–11.52 4.88–12.26 | 19.88 14.10–25.67 12.60–27.17 | 69% 23% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.15 0.53–3.45 | 2.20 1.11–3.29 0.82–3.58 | 4.19 1.94–6.44 1.35–7.03 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.67–3.30 | 1.14 0.01–2.27 0.00–2.56 | 3.12 0.94–5.30 0.39–5.86 | 57% 22% 21% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 5.25 3.81–6.69 3.43–7.07 | 1.86 0.30–3.41 0.00–3.84 | 7.11 4.11–10.10 3.30–10.91 | 87% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.