UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·
UEFA Champions League·League Stage - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction1.042.793.82safe0.07–2.001.93–3.642.00–5.65safer0.00–2.261.70–3.871.52–6.13
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction3.647.3511.00safe1.78–5.505.61–9.107.39–14.60safer1.29–5.995.15–9.566.44–15.56
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0419.3231.36safe8.12–15.9715.76–22.8823.87–38.85safer7.03–17.0614.80–23.8421.82–40.90
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.0012.5819.58safe4.06–9.949.90–15.2613.96–25.21safer3.23–10.779.16–16.0012.39–26.77
Blocked shots
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.265.268.51safe1.38–5.143.60–6.914.98–12.05safer0.83–5.683.11–7.403.94–13.09
Corners
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.816.7410.55safe1.60–6.034.74–8.746.34–14.76safer1.03–6.604.20–9.275.23–15.87
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction38.0063.46safe31.21–44.7956.68–70.25safer29.54–46.4655.01–71.92
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction359600960safe292–427534–667826–1094safer274–445516–684791–1129
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction65.9681.19safe61.93–69.9876.86–85.51safer60.63–71.2875.55–86.82
Fouls
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7610.4621.22safe7.93–13.607.52–13.4115.44–27.01safer7.17–14.366.77–14.1513.94–28.51
Offsides
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.903.30safe0.24–2.570.80–2.991.05–5.55safer0.00–2.870.51–3.280.46–6.14
Yellow cards
50%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.393.29safe0.85–2.950.26–2.521.11–5.47safer0.59–3.220.00–2.810.56–6.03
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.722.437.15safe3.28–6.160.88–3.994.16–10.14safer2.90–6.540.45–4.413.35–10.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.04 0.07–2.00 0.00–2.26 | 2.79 1.93–3.64 1.70–3.87 | 3.82 2.00–5.65 1.52–6.13 | 15% 74% |
| Shots on target | 3.64 1.78–5.50 1.29–5.99 | 7.35 5.61–9.10 5.15–9.56 | 11.00 7.39–14.60 6.44–15.56 | 84% |
| Total shots | 12.04 8.12–15.97 7.03–17.06 | 19.32 15.76–22.88 14.80–23.84 | 31.36 23.87–38.85 21.82–40.90 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 7.00 4.06–9.94 3.23–10.77 | 12.58 9.90–15.26 9.16–16.00 | 19.58 13.96–25.21 12.39–26.77 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 3.26 1.38–5.14 0.83–5.68 | 5.26 3.60–6.91 3.11–7.40 | 8.51 4.98–12.05 3.94–13.09 | 19% 70% |
| Corners | 3.81 1.60–6.03 1.03–6.60 | 6.74 4.74–8.74 4.20–9.27 | 10.55 6.34–14.76 5.23–15.87 | 14% 77% |
| Possession % | 38.00 31.21–44.79 29.54–46.46 | 63.46 56.68–70.25 55.01–71.92 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 359 292–427 274–445 | 600 534–667 516–684 | 960 826–1094 791–1129 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.96 61.93–69.98 60.63–71.28 | 81.19 76.86–85.51 75.55–86.82 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 10.76 7.93–13.60 7.17–14.36 | 10.46 7.52–13.41 6.77–14.15 | 21.22 15.44–27.01 13.94–28.51 | 48% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.24–2.57 0.00–2.87 | 1.90 0.80–2.99 0.51–3.28 | 3.30 1.05–5.55 0.46–6.14 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.59–3.22 | 1.39 0.26–2.52 0.00–2.81 | 3.29 1.11–5.47 0.56–6.03 | 50% 22% 28% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.72 3.28–6.16 2.90–6.54 | 2.43 0.88–3.99 0.45–4.41 | 7.15 4.16–10.14 3.35–10.96 | 75% 14% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.