Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
21%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction0.992.063.05safe0.02–1.961.21–2.921.23–4.88safer0.00–2.210.98–3.150.75–5.36
Shots on target
16%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.636.149.77safe1.77–5.494.40–7.896.17–13.38safer1.28–5.983.94–8.355.21–14.33
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9717.0328.00safe7.04–14.8913.47–20.5920.51–35.49safer5.95–15.9912.51–21.5518.46–37.54
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.3710.8317.21safe3.43–9.318.15–13.5211.58–22.83safer2.60–10.147.42–14.2510.02–24.40
Blocked shots
25%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.954.277.22safe1.07–4.832.62–5.933.69–10.76safer0.52–5.372.13–6.422.65–11.79
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.375.559.92safe2.16–6.593.55–7.555.71–14.14safer1.59–7.163.02–8.084.60–15.24
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.5057.73safe35.71–49.2950.94–64.51safer34.04–50.9649.27–66.19
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction409560969safe342–476493–626835–1103safer324–495476–644800–1138
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction66.6675.94safe62.63–70.6971.61–80.26safer61.33–71.9870.30–81.57
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6910.3622.05safe8.85–14.537.41–13.3016.27–27.83safer8.10–15.296.66–14.0514.76–29.34
Offsides
31%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.622.013.63safe0.45–2.780.92–3.111.38–5.88safer0.15–3.080.63–3.400.79–6.47
Yellow cards
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.393.23safe0.79–2.890.26–2.521.05–5.41safer0.53–3.160.00–2.810.50–5.97
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
66%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.012.476.48safe2.57–5.440.92–4.033.49–9.48safer2.18–5.830.49–4.462.68–10.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.99 0.02–1.96 0.00–2.21 | 2.06 1.21–2.92 0.98–3.15 | 3.05 1.23–4.88 0.75–5.36 | 17% 21% 62% |
| Shots on target | 3.63 1.77–5.49 1.28–5.98 | 6.14 4.40–7.89 3.94–8.35 | 9.77 6.17–13.38 5.21–14.33 | 16% 74% |
| Total shots | 10.97 7.04–14.89 5.95–15.99 | 17.03 13.47–20.59 12.51–21.55 | 28.00 20.51–35.49 18.46–37.54 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 6.37 3.43–9.31 2.60–10.14 | 10.83 8.15–13.52 7.42–14.25 | 17.21 11.58–22.83 10.02–24.40 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 2.95 1.07–4.83 0.52–5.37 | 4.27 2.62–5.93 2.13–6.42 | 7.22 3.69–10.76 2.65–11.79 | 25% 14% 62% |
| Corners | 4.37 2.16–6.59 1.59–7.16 | 5.55 3.55–7.55 3.02–8.08 | 9.92 5.71–14.14 4.60–15.24 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 42.50 35.71–49.29 34.04–50.96 | 57.73 50.94–64.51 49.27–66.19 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 409 342–476 324–495 | 560 493–626 476–644 | 969 835–1103 800–1138 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.66 62.63–70.69 61.33–71.98 | 75.94 71.61–80.26 70.30–81.57 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 11.69 8.85–14.53 8.10–15.29 | 10.36 7.41–13.30 6.66–14.05 | 22.05 16.27–27.83 14.76–29.34 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.45–2.78 0.15–3.08 | 2.01 0.92–3.11 0.63–3.40 | 3.63 1.38–5.88 0.79–6.47 | 31% 21% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.53–3.16 | 1.39 0.26–2.52 0.00–2.81 | 3.23 1.05–5.41 0.50–5.97 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.01 2.57–5.44 2.18–5.83 | 2.47 0.92–4.03 0.49–4.46 | 6.48 3.49–9.48 2.68–10.29 | 66% 14% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+