Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.522.98safe0.48–2.420.67–2.381.15–4.80safer0.23–2.670.44–2.610.67–5.28
Shots on target
42%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.754.839.58safe2.89–6.613.09–6.575.98–13.19safer2.40–7.102.62–7.045.02–14.14
Total shots
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3414.8828.22safe9.42–17.2711.32–18.4420.74–35.71safer8.33–18.3610.36–19.4018.68–37.76
Shots in box
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction8.759.0417.79safe5.81–11.696.36–11.7212.16–23.41safer4.98–12.525.62–12.4610.60–24.98
Blocked shots
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.863.787.64safe1.98–5.742.12–5.434.10–11.17safer1.43–6.281.63–5.923.07–12.21
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.485.0210.50safe3.26–7.693.02–7.026.29–14.71safer2.69–8.262.49–7.565.18–15.82
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction51.0150.77safe44.22–57.8043.98–57.55safer42.55–59.4742.31–59.22
Passes
50%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction473473946safe405–540407–540812–1080safer387–558390–557777–1115
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction71.5173.49safe67.48–75.5469.17–77.82safer66.19–76.8367.86–79.13
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9812.2625.24safe10.14–15.829.32–15.2119.46–31.02safer9.39–16.588.57–15.9517.96–32.53
Offsides
31%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.993.55safe0.40–2.720.90–3.081.30–5.80safer0.10–3.020.61–3.370.71–6.39
Yellow cards
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.823.68safe0.82–2.920.69–2.951.51–5.86safer0.55–3.180.40–3.240.95–6.42
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.153.246.39safe1.72–4.591.69–4.803.40–9.39safer1.33–4.971.26–5.222.59–10.20
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.48–2.42 0.23–2.67 | 1.52 0.67–2.38 0.44–2.61 | 2.98 1.15–4.80 0.67–5.28 | 36% 24% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.75 2.89–6.61 2.40–7.10 | 4.83 3.09–6.57 2.62–7.04 | 9.58 5.98–13.19 5.02–14.14 | 42% 13% 44% |
| Total shots | 13.34 9.42–17.27 8.33–18.36 | 14.88 11.32–18.44 10.36–19.40 | 28.22 20.74–35.71 18.68–37.76 | 35% 58% |
| Shots in box | 8.75 5.81–11.69 4.98–12.52 | 9.04 6.36–11.72 5.62–12.46 | 17.79 12.16–23.41 10.60–24.98 | 43% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.86 1.98–5.74 1.43–6.28 | 3.78 2.12–5.43 1.63–5.92 | 7.64 4.10–11.17 3.07–12.21 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 5.48 3.26–7.69 2.69–8.26 | 5.02 3.02–7.02 2.49–7.56 | 10.50 6.29–14.71 5.18–15.82 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 51.01 44.22–57.80 42.55–59.47 | 50.77 43.98–57.55 42.31–59.22 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 473 405–540 387–558 | 473 407–540 390–557 | 946 812–1080 777–1115 | 50% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.51 67.48–75.54 66.19–76.83 | 73.49 69.17–77.82 67.86–79.13 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 12.98 10.14–15.82 9.39–16.58 | 12.26 9.32–15.21 8.57–15.95 | 25.24 19.46–31.02 17.96–32.53 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 1.99 0.90–3.08 0.61–3.37 | 3.55 1.30–5.80 0.71–6.39 | 31% 22% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.55–3.18 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.68 1.51–5.86 0.95–6.42 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.15 1.72–4.59 1.33–4.97 | 3.24 1.69–4.80 1.26–5.22 | 6.39 3.40–9.39 2.59–10.20 | 41% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.