Predicted match statistics
Goals
72%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.530.943.47safe1.57–3.500.08–1.791.65–5.29safer1.31–3.750.00–2.021.17–5.77
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.273.1710.44safe5.41–9.141.42–4.916.83–14.04safer4.92–9.630.96–5.375.88–15.00
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.889.1228.01safe14.96–22.815.56–12.6920.52–35.49safer13.87–23.904.60–13.6418.47–37.54
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction12.875.0017.87safe9.93–15.812.32–7.6812.25–23.49safer9.10–16.641.58–8.4210.68–25.06
Blocked shots
81%
homeawaytotalprediction4.541.856.39safe2.66–6.420.20–3.512.86–9.93safer2.11–6.960.00–4.001.82–10.96
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.122.9110.03safe4.90–9.330.91–4.915.81–14.24safer4.33–9.900.38–5.444.70–15.35
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.3540.34safe52.56–66.1433.55–47.12safer50.89–67.8131.88–48.79
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction6063961002safe539–673329–462868–1135safer521–691312–480832–1171
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction86.6278.87safe82.59–90.6574.54–83.19safer81.30–91.9473.23–84.50
Fouls
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5110.9121.43safe7.68–13.357.97–13.8615.65–27.21safer6.92–14.117.22–14.6114.14–28.71
Offsides
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.372.956.31safe2.21–4.531.85–4.044.06–8.56safer1.90–4.831.56–4.333.47–9.15
Yellow cards
25%
23%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.802.98safe0.13–2.230.67–2.930.80–5.16safer0.00–2.500.38–3.220.24–5.71
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.20safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.144.586.72safe0.70–3.583.03–6.143.73–9.72safer0.32–3.962.60–6.562.92–10.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.53 1.57–3.50 1.31–3.75 | 0.94 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 3.47 1.65–5.29 1.17–5.77 | 72% 16% |
| Shots on target | 7.27 5.41–9.14 4.92–9.63 | 3.17 1.42–4.91 0.96–5.37 | 10.44 6.83–14.04 5.88–15.00 | 87% |
| Total shots | 18.88 14.96–22.81 13.87–23.90 | 9.12 5.56–12.69 4.60–13.64 | 28.01 20.52–35.49 18.47–37.54 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.87 9.93–15.81 9.10–16.64 | 5.00 2.32–7.68 1.58–8.42 | 17.87 12.25–23.49 10.68–25.06 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 4.54 2.66–6.42 2.11–6.96 | 1.85 0.20–3.51 0.00–4.00 | 6.39 2.86–9.93 1.82–10.96 | 81% |
| Corners | 7.12 4.90–9.33 4.33–9.90 | 2.91 0.91–4.91 0.38–5.44 | 10.03 5.81–14.24 4.70–15.35 | 88% |
| Possession % | 59.35 52.56–66.14 50.89–67.81 | 40.34 33.55–47.12 31.88–48.79 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 606 539–673 521–691 | 396 329–462 312–480 | 1002 868–1135 832–1171 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 86.62 82.59–90.65 81.30–91.94 | 78.87 74.54–83.19 73.23–84.50 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 10.51 7.68–13.35 6.92–14.11 | 10.91 7.97–13.86 7.22–14.61 | 21.43 15.65–27.21 14.14–28.71 | 42% 49% |
| Offsides | 3.37 2.21–4.53 1.90–4.83 | 2.95 1.85–4.04 1.56–4.33 | 6.31 4.06–8.56 3.47–9.15 | 49% 16% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.18 0.13–2.23 0.00–2.50 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 2.98 0.80–5.16 0.24–5.71 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.14 0.70–3.58 0.32–3.96 | 4.58 3.03–6.14 2.60–6.56 | 6.72 3.73–9.72 2.92–10.53 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.