Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
22%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction0.981.962.94safe0.02–1.951.10–2.811.12–4.76safer0.00–2.200.87–3.040.64–5.24
Shots on target
22%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.595.338.92safe1.73–5.453.59–7.075.32–12.53safer1.24–5.943.12–7.544.36–13.48
Total shots
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2914.0524.35safe6.37–14.2210.49–17.6216.86–31.84safer5.28–15.319.53–18.5814.81–33.89
Shots in box
16%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction6.369.7716.13safe3.42–9.307.09–12.4510.51–21.75safer2.59–10.136.35–13.198.94–23.32
Blocked shots
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.483.856.33safe0.60–4.372.20–5.502.80–9.87safer0.06–4.911.70–6.001.76–10.91
Corners
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.525.408.92safe1.30–5.733.40–7.414.71–13.13safer0.73–6.302.87–7.943.60–14.24
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction35.7064.31safe28.91–42.4957.52–71.09safer27.24–44.1655.85–72.76
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction324571895safe257–391505–638762–1029safer239–409487–655726–1065
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction79.0388.64safe75.00–83.0684.32–92.97safer73.71–84.3583.01–94.28
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4111.2623.67safe9.58–15.258.31–14.2017.89–29.45safer8.82–16.017.56–14.9516.38–30.96
Offsides
68%
16%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.731.284.01safe1.57–3.890.19–2.381.76–6.27safer1.27–4.190.00–2.671.17–6.86
Yellow cards
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.643.57safe0.88–2.980.51–2.771.39–5.75safer0.62–3.250.22–3.060.83–6.31
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
54%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.352.615.95safe1.91–4.781.05–4.162.96–8.95safer1.52–5.170.63–4.592.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.98 0.02–1.95 0.00–2.20 | 1.96 1.10–2.81 0.87–3.04 | 2.94 1.12–4.76 0.64–5.24 | 18% 22% 60% |
| Shots on target | 3.59 1.73–5.45 1.24–5.94 | 5.33 3.59–7.07 3.12–7.54 | 8.92 5.32–12.53 4.36–13.48 | 22% 66% |
| Total shots | 10.29 6.37–14.22 5.28–15.31 | 14.05 10.49–17.62 9.53–18.58 | 24.35 16.86–31.84 14.81–33.89 | 19% 75% |
| Shots in box | 6.36 3.42–9.30 2.59–10.13 | 9.77 7.09–12.45 6.35–13.19 | 16.13 10.51–21.75 8.94–23.32 | 16% 77% |
| Blocked shots | 2.48 0.60–4.37 0.06–4.91 | 3.85 2.20–5.50 1.70–6.00 | 6.33 2.80–9.87 1.76–10.91 | 23% 14% 63% |
| Corners | 3.52 1.30–5.73 0.73–6.30 | 5.40 3.40–7.41 2.87–7.94 | 8.92 4.71–13.13 3.60–14.24 | 21% 68% |
| Possession % | 35.70 28.91–42.49 27.24–44.16 | 64.31 57.52–71.09 55.85–72.76 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 324 257–391 239–409 | 571 505–638 487–655 | 895 762–1029 726–1065 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.03 75.00–83.06 73.71–84.35 | 88.64 84.32–92.97 83.01–94.28 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 12.41 9.58–15.25 8.82–16.01 | 11.26 8.31–14.20 7.56–14.95 | 23.67 17.89–29.45 16.38–30.96 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 2.73 1.57–3.89 1.27–4.19 | 1.28 0.19–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 4.01 1.76–6.27 1.17–6.86 | 68% 16% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.62–3.25 | 1.64 0.51–2.77 0.22–3.06 | 3.57 1.39–5.75 0.83–6.31 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.35 1.91–4.78 1.52–5.17 | 2.61 1.05–4.16 0.63–4.59 | 5.95 2.96–8.95 2.15–9.76 | 54% 16% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+