Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
24%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.662.80safe0.18–2.120.80–2.510.98–4.63safer0.00–2.370.57–2.740.50–5.11
Shots on target
34%
13%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.204.919.12safe2.34–6.073.17–6.655.51–12.72safer1.85–6.562.70–7.124.56–13.68
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3313.1926.52safe9.40–17.259.63–16.7519.03–34.00safer8.31–18.348.67–17.7116.98–36.05
Shots in box
44%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction8.448.5116.95safe5.50–11.395.83–11.1911.33–22.58safer4.67–12.215.09–11.939.76–24.14
Blocked shots
35%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.363.867.22safe1.48–5.242.21–5.523.69–10.76safer0.93–5.791.72–6.012.65–11.79
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.885.3110.19safe2.66–7.093.31–7.315.98–14.40safer2.09–7.662.78–7.854.87–15.51
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction41.3457.86safe34.55–48.1351.07–64.64safer32.88–49.8049.40–66.31
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction402549950safe335–469482–615817–1084safer316–487465–633781–1120
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction81.7087.41safe77.67–85.7283.09–91.73safer76.37–87.0281.78–93.04
Fouls
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction12.239.6521.88safe9.39–15.076.71–12.6016.10–27.66safer8.63–15.825.96–13.3414.59–29.17
Offsides
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.703.78safe0.92–3.240.61–2.791.52–6.03safer0.62–3.540.32–3.080.94–6.62
Yellow cards
51%
23%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.253.09safe0.79–2.890.12–2.380.92–5.27safer0.53–3.160.00–2.670.36–5.83
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.070.19safe0.00–0.280.00–0.250.00–0.54safer0.00–0.430.00–0.380.00–0.82
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.422.996.42safe1.99–4.861.44–4.553.42–9.41safer1.60–5.251.01–4.972.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.66 0.80–2.51 0.57–2.74 | 2.80 0.98–4.63 0.50–5.11 | 26% 24% 49% |
| Shots on target | 4.20 2.34–6.07 1.85–6.56 | 4.91 3.17–6.65 2.70–7.12 | 9.12 5.51–12.72 4.56–13.68 | 34% 13% 53% |
| Total shots | 13.33 9.40–17.25 8.31–18.34 | 13.19 9.63–16.75 8.67–17.71 | 26.52 19.03–34.00 16.98–36.05 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 8.44 5.50–11.39 4.67–12.21 | 8.51 5.83–11.19 5.09–11.93 | 16.95 11.33–22.58 9.76–24.14 | 44% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.36 1.48–5.24 0.93–5.79 | 3.86 2.21–5.52 1.72–6.01 | 7.22 3.69–10.76 2.65–11.79 | 35% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 4.88 2.66–7.09 2.09–7.66 | 5.31 3.31–7.31 2.78–7.85 | 10.19 5.98–14.40 4.87–15.51 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 41.34 34.55–48.13 32.88–49.80 | 57.86 51.07–64.64 49.40–66.31 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 402 335–469 316–487 | 549 482–615 465–633 | 950 817–1084 781–1120 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.70 77.67–85.72 76.37–87.02 | 87.41 83.09–91.73 81.78–93.04 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 12.23 9.39–15.07 8.63–15.82 | 9.65 6.71–12.60 5.96–13.34 | 21.88 16.10–27.66 14.59–29.17 | 67% 25% |
| Offsides | 2.08 0.92–3.24 0.62–3.54 | 1.70 0.61–2.79 0.32–3.08 | 3.78 1.52–6.03 0.94–6.62 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.53–3.16 | 1.25 0.12–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 3.09 0.92–5.27 0.36–5.83 | 51% 23% 26% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.42 1.99–4.86 1.60–5.25 | 2.99 1.44–4.55 1.01–4.97 | 6.42 3.42–9.41 2.61–10.22 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.