Coppa Italia·Round of 16·
Coppa Italia·Round of 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.510.673.18safe1.54–3.470.00–1.521.35–5.00safer1.29–3.730.00–1.750.87–5.48
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction7.102.689.78safe5.24–8.960.94–4.426.18–13.39safer4.75–9.450.47–4.895.22–14.34
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction19.378.3127.68safe15.45–23.304.74–11.8720.19–35.17safer14.36–24.393.78–12.8318.14–37.22
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction13.444.2417.68safe10.49–16.381.56–6.9212.06–23.30safer9.67–17.210.82–7.6610.49–24.87
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.041.936.97safe3.16–6.920.28–3.583.43–10.50safer2.61–7.460.00–4.072.40–11.54
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.122.869.98safe4.91–9.340.86–4.865.77–14.20safer4.34–9.910.32–5.394.66–15.30
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.3437.67safe55.55–69.1330.88–44.45safer53.88–70.8029.21–46.12
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction591359950safe524–658292–425816–1083safer505–676275–443780–1119
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction84.4474.65safe80.41–88.4770.32–78.97safer79.12–89.7769.01–80.28
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1711.1723.33safe9.33–15.008.22–14.1117.55–29.12safer8.57–15.767.47–14.8616.05–30.62
Offsides
56%
20%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.251.433.68safe1.09–3.410.34–2.531.43–5.93safer0.79–3.710.05–2.820.84–6.52
Yellow cards
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.703.03safe0.28–2.380.57–2.820.85–5.20safer0.01–2.650.28–3.120.29–5.76
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.80
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction1.924.206.12safe0.48–3.352.64–5.753.12–9.11safer0.10–3.742.22–6.182.31–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.51 1.54–3.47 1.29–3.73 | 0.67 0.00–1.52 0.00–1.75 | 3.18 1.35–5.00 0.87–5.48 | 77% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.10 5.24–8.96 4.75–9.45 | 2.68 0.94–4.42 0.47–4.89 | 9.78 6.18–13.39 5.22–14.34 | 90% |
| Total shots | 19.37 15.45–23.30 14.36–24.39 | 8.31 4.74–11.87 3.78–12.83 | 27.68 20.19–35.17 18.14–37.22 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.44 10.49–16.38 9.67–17.21 | 4.24 1.56–6.92 0.82–7.66 | 17.68 12.06–23.30 10.49–24.87 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.04 3.16–6.92 2.61–7.46 | 1.93 0.28–3.58 0.00–4.07 | 6.97 3.43–10.50 2.40–11.54 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.12 4.91–9.34 4.34–9.91 | 2.86 0.86–4.86 0.32–5.39 | 9.98 5.77–14.20 4.66–15.30 | 89% |
| Possession % | 62.34 55.55–69.13 53.88–70.80 | 37.67 30.88–44.45 29.21–46.12 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 591 524–658 505–676 | 359 292–425 275–443 | 950 816–1083 780–1119 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.44 80.41–88.47 79.12–89.77 | 74.65 70.32–78.97 69.01–80.28 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 12.17 9.33–15.00 8.57–15.76 | 11.17 8.22–14.11 7.47–14.86 | 23.33 17.55–29.12 16.05–30.62 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.25 1.09–3.41 0.79–3.71 | 1.43 0.34–2.53 0.05–2.82 | 3.68 1.43–5.93 0.84–6.52 | 56% 20% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.28–2.38 0.01–2.65 | 1.70 0.57–2.82 0.28–3.12 | 3.03 0.85–5.20 0.29–5.76 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.92 0.48–3.35 0.10–3.74 | 4.20 2.64–5.75 2.22–6.18 | 6.12 3.12–9.11 2.31–9.92 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.