Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
20%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.110.903.00safe1.14–3.070.04–1.751.18–4.83safer0.89–3.320.00–1.980.70–5.31
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.182.979.15safe4.32–8.041.23–4.715.55–12.76safer3.83–8.530.76–5.184.59–13.71
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction17.179.3626.53safe13.24–21.095.80–12.9219.04–34.02safer12.15–22.194.84–13.8816.99–36.07
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.285.2417.52safe9.34–15.232.55–7.9211.90–23.14safer8.51–16.061.82–8.6510.33–24.71
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.032.176.20safe2.15–5.910.52–3.822.66–9.74safer1.60–6.460.02–4.311.63–10.77
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.222.999.21safe4.01–8.430.99–4.994.99–13.42safer3.43–9.010.45–5.523.89–14.53
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.6640.87safe52.87–66.4534.08–47.65safer51.20–68.1232.41–49.33
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction535359894safe468–602293–426761–1028safer450–620275–443725–1064
Pass accuracy %
81%
15%
homeawayprediction87.4280.00safe83.39–91.4575.68–84.33safer82.10–92.7474.37–85.63
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3812.0125.39safe10.54–16.229.06–14.9519.61–31.17safer9.79–16.978.32–15.7018.10–32.68
Offsides
63%
18%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.551.383.93safe1.39–3.710.28–2.471.67–6.18safer1.09–4.010.00–2.761.09–6.77
Yellow cards
32%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.943.51safe0.52–2.620.81–3.071.34–5.69safer0.26–2.890.52–3.360.78–6.25
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
17%
13%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.063.855.90safe0.62–3.492.29–5.402.91–8.89safer0.23–3.881.86–5.832.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.11 1.14–3.07 0.89–3.32 | 0.90 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 3.00 1.18–4.83 0.70–5.31 | 65% 20% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.18 4.32–8.04 3.83–8.53 | 2.97 1.23–4.71 0.76–5.18 | 9.15 5.55–12.76 4.59–13.71 | 82% |
| Total shots | 17.17 13.24–21.09 12.15–22.19 | 9.36 5.80–12.92 4.84–13.88 | 26.53 19.04–34.02 16.99–36.07 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 12.28 9.34–15.23 8.51–16.06 | 5.24 2.55–7.92 1.82–8.65 | 17.52 11.90–23.14 10.33–24.71 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.03 2.15–5.91 1.60–6.46 | 2.17 0.52–3.82 0.02–4.31 | 6.20 2.66–9.74 1.63–10.77 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 6.22 4.01–8.43 3.43–9.01 | 2.99 0.99–4.99 0.45–5.52 | 9.21 4.99–13.42 3.89–14.53 | 82% |
| Possession % | 59.66 52.87–66.45 51.20–68.12 | 40.87 34.08–47.65 32.41–49.33 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 535 468–602 450–620 | 359 293–426 275–443 | 894 761–1028 725–1064 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 87.42 83.39–91.45 82.10–92.74 | 80.00 75.68–84.33 74.37–85.63 | — | 81% 15% |
| Fouls | 13.38 10.54–16.22 9.79–16.97 | 12.01 9.06–14.95 8.32–15.70 | 25.39 19.61–31.17 18.10–32.68 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 2.55 1.39–3.71 1.09–4.01 | 1.38 0.28–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 3.93 1.67–6.18 1.09–6.77 | 63% 18% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.51 1.34–5.69 0.78–6.25 | 32% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.06 0.62–3.49 0.23–3.88 | 3.85 2.29–5.40 1.86–5.83 | 5.90 2.91–8.89 2.10–9.71 | 17% 13% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.