DFB Pokal·Round of 32·
DFB Pokal·Round of 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.560.913.47safe1.59–3.520.06–1.761.64–5.29safer1.34–3.780.00–1.991.16–5.77
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.443.1610.60safe5.58–9.301.41–4.906.99–14.20safer5.09–9.790.95–5.376.04–15.16
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.108.7128.81safe16.18–24.035.14–12.2721.32–36.30safer15.09–25.124.18–13.2319.27–38.35
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction13.095.1218.22safe10.15–16.042.44–7.8012.59–23.84safer9.32–16.861.71–8.5411.03–25.41
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.982.457.43safe3.10–6.860.80–4.103.90–10.97safer2.55–7.410.31–4.602.86–12.00
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.433.2710.70safe5.21–9.641.27–5.276.49–14.91safer4.64–10.210.74–5.815.38–16.02
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction54.1946.42safe47.40–60.9839.63–53.20safer45.73–62.6537.96–54.87
Passes
72%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5664981064safe499–633431–564930–1197safer481–652414–581894–1233
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction82.5080.40safe78.48–86.5376.07–84.72safer77.18–87.8374.76–86.03
Fouls
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4611.7025.15safe10.62–16.298.75–14.6419.37–30.93safer9.86–17.058.00–15.3917.87–32.44
Offsides
57%
20%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.221.343.55safe1.06–3.380.24–2.431.30–5.81safer0.75–3.680.00–2.720.71–6.40
Yellow cards
38%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.773.53safe0.70–2.800.65–2.901.35–5.70safer0.44–3.070.35–3.190.79–6.26
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.214.847.05safe0.77–3.643.28–6.404.06–10.04safer0.38–4.032.86–6.823.24–10.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.56 1.59–3.52 1.34–3.78 | 0.91 0.06–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 3.47 1.64–5.29 1.16–5.77 | 73% 16% |
| Shots on target | 7.44 5.58–9.30 5.09–9.79 | 3.16 1.41–4.90 0.95–5.37 | 10.60 6.99–14.20 6.04–15.16 | 88% |
| Total shots | 20.10 16.18–24.03 15.09–25.12 | 8.71 5.14–12.27 4.18–13.23 | 28.81 21.32–36.30 19.27–38.35 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.09 10.15–16.04 9.32–16.86 | 5.12 2.44–7.80 1.71–8.54 | 18.22 12.59–23.84 11.03–25.41 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 4.98 3.10–6.86 2.55–7.41 | 2.45 0.80–4.10 0.31–4.60 | 7.43 3.90–10.97 2.86–12.00 | 77% |
| Corners | 7.43 5.21–9.64 4.64–10.21 | 3.27 1.27–5.27 0.74–5.81 | 10.70 6.49–14.91 5.38–16.02 | 87% |
| Possession % | 54.19 47.40–60.98 45.73–62.65 | 46.42 39.63–53.20 37.96–54.87 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 566 499–633 481–652 | 498 431–564 414–581 | 1064 930–1197 894–1233 | 72% 28% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.50 78.48–86.53 77.18–87.83 | 80.40 76.07–84.72 74.76–86.03 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 13.46 10.62–16.29 9.86–17.05 | 11.70 8.75–14.64 8.00–15.39 | 25.15 19.37–30.93 17.87–32.44 | 60% 33% |
| Offsides | 2.22 1.06–3.38 0.75–3.68 | 1.34 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.55 1.30–5.81 0.71–6.40 | 57% 20% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 1.77 0.65–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.53 1.35–5.70 0.79–6.26 | 38% 22% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.21 0.77–3.64 0.38–4.03 | 4.84 3.28–6.40 2.86–6.82 | 7.05 4.06–10.04 3.24–10.85 | 79% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.