DFB Pokal·Round of 32·
DFB Pokal·Round of 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
87%
homeawaytotalprediction3.750.924.67safe2.78–4.720.06–1.772.84–6.49safer2.53–4.970.00–2.002.36–6.97
Shots on target
94%
homeawaytotalprediction9.263.3512.61safe7.39–11.121.61–5.099.00–16.21safer6.90–11.611.14–5.568.05–17.17
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction22.548.7931.33safe18.62–26.475.23–12.3523.85–38.82safer17.53–27.564.27–13.3121.80–40.87
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction14.955.6520.60safe12.00–17.892.97–8.3314.97–26.22safer11.17–18.722.23–9.0713.41–27.79
Blocked shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5.531.997.52safe3.65–7.410.34–3.643.98–11.06safer3.10–7.950.00–4.142.95–12.09
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.312.6910.00safe5.09–9.520.69–4.695.78–14.21safer4.52–10.090.16–5.224.68–15.32
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction64.7334.77safe57.94–71.5227.99–41.56safer56.27–73.1926.31–43.23
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction6783531030safe610–745286–419897–1164safer592–763269–437861–1200
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction85.7277.20safe81.69–89.7572.87–81.52safer80.40–91.0571.57–82.83
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2911.6221.90safe7.45–13.128.67–14.5616.12–27.69safer6.69–13.887.92–15.3114.62–29.19
Offsides
36%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.783.45safe0.51–2.830.69–2.881.20–5.71safer0.21–3.130.40–3.160.61–6.30
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.873.32safe0.40–2.500.75–3.001.15–5.50safer0.13–2.760.45–3.290.59–6.06
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.110.15safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.350.00–0.430.00–0.78
GK saves
87%
homeawaytotalprediction2.165.817.96safe0.72–3.594.25–7.364.97–10.95safer0.33–3.983.82–7.794.16–11.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.75 2.78–4.72 2.53–4.97 | 0.92 0.06–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 4.67 2.84–6.49 2.36–6.97 | 87% |
| Shots on target | 9.26 7.39–11.12 6.90–11.61 | 3.35 1.61–5.09 1.14–5.56 | 12.61 9.00–16.21 8.05–17.17 | 94% |
| Total shots | 22.54 18.62–26.47 17.53–27.56 | 8.79 5.23–12.35 4.27–13.31 | 31.33 23.85–38.82 21.80–40.87 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.95 12.00–17.89 11.17–18.72 | 5.65 2.97–8.33 2.23–9.07 | 20.60 14.97–26.22 13.41–27.79 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.53 3.65–7.41 3.10–7.95 | 1.99 0.34–3.64 0.00–4.14 | 7.52 3.98–11.06 2.95–12.09 | 87% |
| Corners | 7.31 5.09–9.52 4.52–10.09 | 2.69 0.69–4.69 0.16–5.22 | 10.00 5.78–14.21 4.68–15.32 | 91% |
| Possession % | 64.73 57.94–71.52 56.27–73.19 | 34.77 27.99–41.56 26.31–43.23 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 678 610–745 592–763 | 353 286–419 269–437 | 1030 897–1164 861–1200 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.72 81.69–89.75 80.40–91.05 | 77.20 72.87–81.52 71.57–82.83 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.29 7.45–13.12 6.69–13.88 | 11.62 8.67–14.56 7.92–15.31 | 21.90 16.12–27.69 14.62–29.19 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 1.78 0.69–2.88 0.40–3.16 | 3.45 1.20–5.71 0.61–6.30 | 36% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.50 0.13–2.76 | 1.87 0.75–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.32 1.15–5.50 0.59–6.06 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.16 0.72–3.59 0.33–3.98 | 5.81 4.25–7.36 3.82–7.79 | 7.96 4.97–10.95 4.16–11.77 | 87% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.