DFB Pokal·Round of 32·
DFB Pokal·Round of 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.353.19safe0.88–2.810.50–2.201.37–5.02safer0.63–3.060.27–2.430.89–5.50
Shots on target
60%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.864.5510.41safe4.00–7.722.81–6.296.80–14.01safer3.51–8.212.34–6.765.85–14.97
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction16.8712.7029.58safe12.95–20.809.14–16.2722.09–37.06safer11.86–21.898.18–17.2320.04–39.11
Shots in box
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.877.4018.28safe7.93–13.824.72–10.0812.65–23.90safer7.10–14.643.99–10.8211.09–25.47
Blocked shots
55%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.073.207.27safe2.19–5.961.54–4.853.73–10.81safer1.65–6.501.05–5.342.70–11.84
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.234.0710.30safe4.02–8.442.07–6.076.08–14.51safer3.44–9.021.53–6.604.98–15.62
Possession %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction52.4147.45safe45.62–59.2040.67–54.24safer43.95–60.8738.99–55.91
Passes
70%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction502437939safe435–569371–504805–1073safer416–587353–521770–1108
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction75.6977.81safe71.66–79.7273.49–82.14safer70.37–81.0172.18–83.45
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1910.6922.87safe9.35–15.027.74–13.6317.09–28.65safer8.59–15.786.99–14.3815.58–30.16
Offsides
55%
21%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.403.56safe0.99–3.310.31–2.501.30–5.81safer0.69–3.610.02–2.780.71–6.40
Yellow cards
43%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.603.38safe0.74–2.830.47–2.731.20–5.56safer0.47–3.100.18–3.020.65–6.12
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
25%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.854.157.00safe1.42–4.292.59–5.704.01–9.99safer1.03–4.682.17–6.133.19–10.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.84 0.88–2.81 0.63–3.06 | 1.35 0.50–2.20 0.27–2.43 | 3.19 1.37–5.02 0.89–5.50 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.86 4.00–7.72 3.51–8.21 | 4.55 2.81–6.29 2.34–6.76 | 10.41 6.80–14.01 5.85–14.97 | 60% 29% |
| Total shots | 16.87 12.95–20.80 11.86–21.89 | 12.70 9.14–16.27 8.18–17.23 | 29.58 22.09–37.06 20.04–39.11 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 10.87 7.93–13.82 7.10–14.64 | 7.40 4.72–10.08 3.99–10.82 | 18.28 12.65–23.90 11.09–25.47 | 76% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.07 2.19–5.96 1.65–6.50 | 3.20 1.54–4.85 1.05–5.34 | 7.27 3.73–10.81 2.70–11.84 | 55% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 6.23 4.02–8.44 3.44–9.02 | 4.07 2.07–6.07 1.53–6.60 | 10.30 6.08–14.51 4.98–15.62 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 52.41 45.62–59.20 43.95–60.87 | 47.45 40.67–54.24 38.99–55.91 | — | 59% 36% |
| Passes | 502 435–569 416–587 | 437 371–504 353–521 | 939 805–1073 770–1108 | 70% 29% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.69 71.66–79.72 70.37–81.01 | 77.81 73.49–82.14 72.18–83.45 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 12.19 9.35–15.02 8.59–15.78 | 10.69 7.74–13.63 6.99–14.38 | 22.87 17.09–28.65 15.58–30.16 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 1.40 0.31–2.50 0.02–2.78 | 3.56 1.30–5.81 0.71–6.40 | 55% 21% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.74–2.83 0.47–3.10 | 1.60 0.47–2.73 0.18–3.02 | 3.38 1.20–5.56 0.65–6.12 | 43% 23% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.85 1.42–4.29 1.03–4.68 | 4.15 2.59–5.70 2.17–6.13 | 7.00 4.01–9.99 3.19–10.80 | 25% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+