DFB Pokal·Round of 32·
DFB Pokal·Round of 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
24%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.722.97safe0.28–2.220.86–2.571.14–4.79safer0.03–2.470.63–2.800.66–5.27
Shots on target
31%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.065.039.08safe2.19–5.923.28–6.775.48–12.69safer1.70–6.412.82–7.234.52–13.64
Total shots
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3315.3027.63safe8.40–16.2511.74–18.8620.14–35.11safer7.31–17.3410.78–19.8218.09–37.16
Shots in box
17%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction7.3610.8518.21safe4.42–10.308.17–13.5312.58–23.83safer3.59–11.137.43–14.2711.02–25.40
Blocked shots
34%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.494.137.61safe1.60–5.372.47–5.784.08–11.15safer1.06–5.911.98–6.273.04–12.18
Corners
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.745.5110.25safe2.53–6.963.51–7.516.04–14.47safer1.95–7.532.98–8.044.93–15.57
Possession %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction49.2751.65safe42.48–56.0644.87–58.44safer40.81–57.7343.20–60.11
Passes
40%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction409440849safe342–476374–507716–983safer324–494356–524680–1019
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction72.8175.69safe68.78–76.8471.36–80.01safer67.49–78.1370.06–81.32
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3113.3623.67safe7.48–13.1510.41–16.3017.89–29.45safer6.72–13.919.67–17.0516.38–30.96
Offsides
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.663.49safe0.67–2.990.56–2.751.23–5.74safer0.37–3.290.27–3.040.65–6.33
Yellow cards
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.853.74safe0.84–2.940.72–2.981.56–5.92safer0.57–3.200.43–3.271.01–6.48
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
49%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.112.685.79safe1.68–4.551.12–4.242.80–8.79safer1.29–4.940.70–4.661.99–9.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.72 0.86–2.57 0.63–2.80 | 2.97 1.14–4.79 0.66–5.27 | 28% 24% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.06 2.19–5.92 1.70–6.41 | 5.03 3.28–6.77 2.82–7.23 | 9.08 5.48–12.69 4.52–13.64 | 31% 56% |
| Total shots | 12.33 8.40–16.25 7.31–17.34 | 15.30 11.74–18.86 10.78–19.82 | 27.63 20.14–35.11 18.09–37.16 | 25% 68% |
| Shots in box | 7.36 4.42–10.30 3.59–11.13 | 10.85 8.17–13.53 7.43–14.27 | 18.21 12.58–23.83 11.02–25.40 | 17% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 3.49 1.60–5.37 1.06–5.91 | 4.13 2.47–5.78 1.98–6.27 | 7.61 4.08–11.15 3.04–12.18 | 34% 14% 52% |
| Corners | 4.74 2.53–6.96 1.95–7.53 | 5.51 3.51–7.51 2.98–8.04 | 10.25 6.04–14.47 4.93–15.57 | 34% 53% |
| Possession % | 49.27 42.48–56.06 40.81–57.73 | 51.65 44.87–58.44 43.20–60.11 | — | 42% 53% |
| Passes | 409 342–476 324–494 | 440 374–507 356–524 | 849 716–983 680–1019 | 40% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.81 68.78–76.84 67.49–78.13 | 75.69 71.36–80.01 70.06–81.32 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 10.31 7.48–13.15 6.72–13.91 | 13.36 10.41–16.30 9.67–17.05 | 23.67 17.89–29.45 16.38–30.96 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 1.66 0.56–2.75 0.27–3.04 | 3.49 1.23–5.74 0.65–6.33 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.57–3.20 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.11 1.68–4.55 1.29–4.94 | 2.68 1.12–4.24 0.70–4.66 | 5.79 2.80–8.79 1.99–9.60 | 49% 17% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.