DFB Pokal·Round of 32·
DFB Pokal·Round of 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.653.34safe0.72–2.660.79–2.501.51–5.16safer0.47–2.910.56–2.731.03–5.64
Shots on target
47%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.914.659.56safe3.05–6.772.91–6.395.95–13.17safer2.56–7.262.44–6.865.00–14.12
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6514.0928.74safe10.73–18.5810.53–17.6521.26–36.23safer9.64–19.679.57–18.6119.20–38.28
Shots in box
47%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction9.078.8617.93safe6.13–12.026.18–11.5412.31–23.56safer5.30–12.855.44–12.2810.74–25.12
Blocked shots
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.533.827.34safe1.64–5.412.16–5.473.81–10.88safer1.10–5.951.67–5.962.77–11.91
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.494.7010.20safe3.28–7.712.70–6.705.98–14.41safer2.71–8.282.17–7.234.87–15.52
Possession %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction51.3049.36safe44.51–58.0942.58–56.15safer42.84–59.7640.91–57.82
Passes
59%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction490461950safe422–557394–527817–1084safer404–575377–545781–1120
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction75.0778.03safe71.04–79.1073.70–82.35safer69.75–80.3972.39–83.66
Fouls
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction11.319.9421.24safe8.47–14.146.99–12.8815.46–27.03safer7.71–14.906.24–13.6313.96–28.53
Offsides
30%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.973.47safe0.34–2.660.87–3.061.21–5.72safer0.04–2.960.58–3.350.62–6.31
Yellow cards
37%
24%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.603.15safe0.50–2.600.47–2.730.97–5.33safer0.24–2.870.18–3.020.41–5.89
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.113.226.34safe1.68–4.551.67–4.783.34–9.33safer1.29–4.941.24–5.202.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.69 0.72–2.66 0.47–2.91 | 1.65 0.79–2.50 0.56–2.73 | 3.34 1.51–5.16 1.03–5.64 | 40% 23% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.91 3.05–6.77 2.56–7.26 | 4.65 2.91–6.39 2.44–6.86 | 9.56 5.95–13.17 5.00–14.12 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Total shots | 14.65 10.73–18.58 9.64–19.67 | 14.09 10.53–17.65 9.57–18.61 | 28.74 21.26–36.23 19.20–38.28 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 9.07 6.13–12.02 5.30–12.85 | 8.86 6.18–11.54 5.44–12.28 | 17.93 12.31–23.56 10.74–25.12 | 47% 43% |
| Blocked shots | 3.53 1.64–5.41 1.10–5.95 | 3.82 2.16–5.47 1.67–5.96 | 7.34 3.81–10.88 2.77–11.91 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 5.49 3.28–7.71 2.71–8.28 | 4.70 2.70–6.70 2.17–7.23 | 10.20 5.98–14.41 4.87–15.52 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 51.30 44.51–58.09 42.84–59.76 | 49.36 42.58–56.15 40.91–57.82 | — | 52% 43% |
| Passes | 490 422–557 404–575 | 461 394–527 377–545 | 950 817–1084 781–1120 | 59% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.07 71.04–79.10 69.75–80.39 | 78.03 73.70–82.35 72.39–83.66 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 11.31 8.47–14.14 7.71–14.90 | 9.94 6.99–12.88 6.24–13.63 | 21.24 15.46–27.03 13.96–28.53 | 57% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 1.97 0.87–3.06 0.58–3.35 | 3.47 1.21–5.72 0.62–6.31 | 30% 22% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 1.60 0.47–2.73 0.18–3.02 | 3.15 0.97–5.33 0.41–5.89 | 37% 24% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.11 1.68–4.55 1.29–4.94 | 3.22 1.67–4.78 1.24–5.20 | 6.34 3.34–9.33 2.53–10.14 | 40% 16% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.