DFB Pokal·Round of 32·
DFB Pokal·Round of 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
19%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.351.283.63safe1.38–3.320.43–2.131.80–5.45safer1.13–3.570.20–2.361.33–5.93
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.893.7010.59safe5.02–8.751.96–5.446.98–14.19safer4.53–9.241.49–5.916.03–15.15
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction17.7111.8529.57safe13.79–21.648.29–15.4222.08–37.05safer12.70–22.737.33–16.3820.03–39.11
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction12.366.7519.11safe9.42–15.304.07–9.4313.48–24.73safer8.59–16.133.33–10.1711.92–26.30
Blocked shots
59%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.473.327.79safe2.59–6.351.67–4.974.26–11.33safer2.04–6.891.18–5.473.22–12.36
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.753.949.69safe3.54–7.961.94–5.945.47–13.90safer2.96–8.541.41–6.474.37–15.01
Possession %
61%
35%
homeawayprediction53.1847.59safe46.39–59.9740.80–54.37safer44.72–61.6439.13–56.04
Passes
59%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction488459947safe421–555393–526813–1081safer402–573375–543778–1116
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction77.6479.21safe73.61–81.6774.88–83.53safer72.32–82.9773.57–84.84
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7412.8123.55safe7.91–13.589.86–15.7517.77–29.33safer7.15–14.349.11–16.5016.27–30.84
Offsides
51%
22%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.423.42safe0.84–3.160.32–2.511.16–5.67safer0.54–3.460.04–2.800.57–6.26
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.183.77safe0.54–2.641.05–3.311.60–5.95safer0.28–2.910.76–3.601.04–6.51
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.130.19safe0.00–0.220.00–0.320.00–0.54safer0.00–0.370.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
22%
13%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.684.186.86safe1.24–4.122.63–5.743.87–9.85safer0.86–4.502.20–6.163.06–10.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.35 1.38–3.32 1.13–3.57 | 1.28 0.43–2.13 0.20–2.36 | 3.63 1.80–5.45 1.33–5.93 | 61% 19% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.89 5.02–8.75 4.53–9.24 | 3.70 1.96–5.44 1.49–5.91 | 10.59 6.98–14.19 6.03–15.15 | 80% |
| Total shots | 17.71 13.79–21.64 12.70–22.73 | 11.85 8.29–15.42 7.33–16.38 | 29.57 22.08–37.05 20.03–39.11 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 12.36 9.42–15.30 8.59–16.13 | 6.75 4.07–9.43 3.33–10.17 | 19.11 13.48–24.73 11.92–26.30 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 4.47 2.59–6.35 2.04–6.89 | 3.32 1.67–4.97 1.18–5.47 | 7.79 4.26–11.33 3.22–12.36 | 59% 13% 28% |
| Corners | 5.75 3.54–7.96 2.96–8.54 | 3.94 1.94–5.94 1.41–6.47 | 9.69 5.47–13.90 4.37–15.01 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 53.18 46.39–59.97 44.72–61.64 | 47.59 40.80–54.37 39.13–56.04 | — | 61% 35% |
| Passes | 488 421–555 402–573 | 459 393–526 375–543 | 947 813–1081 778–1116 | 59% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.64 73.61–81.67 72.32–82.97 | 79.21 74.88–83.53 73.57–84.84 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 10.74 7.91–13.58 7.15–14.34 | 12.81 9.86–15.75 9.11–16.50 | 23.55 17.77–29.33 16.27–30.84 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.46 | 1.42 0.32–2.51 0.04–2.80 | 3.42 1.16–5.67 0.57–6.26 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.28–2.91 | 2.18 1.05–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 3.77 1.60–5.95 1.04–6.51 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.68 1.24–4.12 0.86–4.50 | 4.18 2.63–5.74 2.20–6.16 | 6.86 3.87–9.85 3.06–10.67 | 22% 13% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+