DFB Pokal·Round of 32·
DFB Pokal·Round of 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.673.06safe0.42–2.360.82–2.531.24–4.88safer0.17–2.610.59–2.760.76–5.36
Shots on target
29%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction4.876.2211.09safe3.01–6.734.48–7.967.49–14.70safer2.52–7.224.01–8.436.53–15.65
Total shots
50%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1516.6733.82safe13.23–21.0813.11–20.2326.33–41.31safer12.14–22.1712.15–21.1924.28–43.36
Shots in box
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction9.3710.9620.33safe6.43–12.318.28–13.6414.71–25.95safer5.60–13.147.54–14.3813.14–27.52
Blocked shots
53%
13%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.633.908.53safe2.75–6.512.24–5.554.99–12.06safer2.20–7.061.75–6.043.95–13.10
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction5.075.8910.96safe2.85–7.283.89–7.896.75–15.17safer2.28–7.853.36–8.435.64–16.28
Possession %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction46.4454.23safe39.65–53.2347.45–61.02safer37.98–54.9045.77–62.69
Passes
34%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction460508968safe393–527442–575834–1102safer375–545424–592799–1138
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction71.7874.95safe67.75–75.8170.62–79.27safer66.46–77.1069.31–80.58
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1611.9823.14safe8.32–14.009.03–14.9217.35–28.92safer7.57–14.758.28–15.6715.85–30.42
Offsides
46%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.483.29safe0.65–2.970.38–2.571.03–5.54safer0.35–3.270.10–2.860.44–6.13
Yellow cards
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.753.55safe0.74–2.840.62–2.881.37–5.72safer0.48–3.110.33–3.170.81–6.28
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.843.367.20safe2.40–5.281.80–4.924.21–10.19safer2.02–5.661.38–5.343.39–11.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.42–2.36 0.17–2.61 | 1.67 0.82–2.53 0.59–2.76 | 3.06 1.24–4.88 0.76–5.36 | 32% 24% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.87 3.01–6.73 2.52–7.22 | 6.22 4.48–7.96 4.01–8.43 | 11.09 7.49–14.70 6.53–15.65 | 29% 60% |
| Total shots | 17.15 13.23–21.08 12.14–22.17 | 16.67 13.11–20.23 12.15–21.19 | 33.82 26.33–41.31 24.28–43.36 | 50% 43% |
| Shots in box | 9.37 6.43–12.31 5.60–13.14 | 10.96 8.28–13.64 7.54–14.38 | 20.33 14.71–25.95 13.14–27.52 | 32% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 4.63 2.75–6.51 2.20–7.06 | 3.90 2.24–5.55 1.75–6.04 | 8.53 4.99–12.06 3.95–13.10 | 53% 13% 33% |
| Corners | 5.07 2.85–7.28 2.28–7.85 | 5.89 3.89–7.89 3.36–8.43 | 10.96 6.75–15.17 5.64–16.28 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 46.44 39.65–53.23 37.98–54.90 | 54.23 47.45–61.02 45.77–62.69 | — | 30% 66% |
| Passes | 460 393–527 375–545 | 508 442–575 424–592 | 968 834–1102 799–1138 | 34% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.78 67.75–75.81 66.46–77.10 | 74.95 70.62–79.27 69.31–80.58 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 11.16 8.32–14.00 7.57–14.75 | 11.98 9.03–14.92 8.28–15.67 | 23.14 17.35–28.92 15.85–30.42 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.48 0.38–2.57 0.10–2.86 | 3.29 1.03–5.54 0.44–6.13 | 46% 23% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.48–3.11 | 1.75 0.62–2.88 0.33–3.17 | 3.55 1.37–5.72 0.81–6.28 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.84 2.40–5.28 2.02–5.66 | 3.36 1.80–4.92 1.38–5.34 | 7.20 4.21–10.19 3.39–11.00 | 49% 15% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.