DFB Pokal·Round of 32·
DFB Pokal·Round of 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
22%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.243.16safe0.96–2.890.38–2.091.34–4.99safer0.71–3.150.16–2.320.86–5.47
Shots on target
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.064.0310.09safe4.20–7.922.29–5.776.49–13.70safer3.71–8.411.82–6.245.53–14.65
Total shots
76%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3712.1228.49safe12.44–20.298.56–15.6821.00–35.97safer11.35–21.387.60–16.6418.95–38.02
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction10.307.1317.44safe7.36–13.254.45–9.8111.81–23.06safer6.53–14.083.71–10.5510.25–24.63
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.642.777.42safe2.76–6.531.12–4.433.88–10.95safer2.22–7.070.63–4.922.85–11.99
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.054.1210.18safe3.84–8.262.12–6.125.96–14.39safer3.26–8.841.59–6.664.86–15.50
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.3145.31safe47.52–61.1038.52–52.09safer45.85–62.7736.85–53.76
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction473430903safe406–541363–496769–1037safer388–559346–514734–1072
Pass accuracy %
64%
31%
homeawayprediction79.9076.61safe75.87–83.9372.28–80.93safer74.58–85.2270.97–82.24
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7914.7626.55safe8.95–14.6211.82–17.7120.77–32.33safer8.19–15.3811.07–18.4619.26–33.83
Offsides
37%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.893.65safe0.60–2.920.79–2.981.39–5.90safer0.30–3.220.50–3.270.80–6.49
Yellow cards
31%
18%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.122.704.82safe1.07–3.171.57–3.822.64–6.99safer0.81–3.441.27–4.122.08–7.55
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.130.23safe0.00–0.270.00–0.310.00–0.58safer0.00–0.420.00–0.450.00–0.86
GK saves
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.673.946.61safe1.24–4.112.38–5.493.62–9.60safer0.85–4.501.96–5.922.81–10.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.93 0.96–2.89 0.71–3.15 | 1.24 0.38–2.09 0.16–2.32 | 3.16 1.34–4.99 0.86–5.47 | 53% 22% 24% |
| Shots on target | 6.06 4.20–7.92 3.71–8.41 | 4.03 2.29–5.77 1.82–6.24 | 10.09 6.49–13.70 5.53–14.65 | 68% 21% |
| Total shots | 16.37 12.44–20.29 11.35–21.38 | 12.12 8.56–15.68 7.60–16.64 | 28.49 21.00–35.97 18.95–38.02 | 76% 19% |
| Shots in box | 10.30 7.36–13.25 6.53–14.08 | 7.13 4.45–9.81 3.71–10.55 | 17.44 11.81–23.06 10.25–24.63 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.64 2.76–6.53 2.22–7.07 | 2.77 1.12–4.43 0.63–4.92 | 7.42 3.88–10.95 2.85–11.99 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 6.05 3.84–8.26 3.26–8.84 | 4.12 2.12–6.12 1.59–6.66 | 10.18 5.96–14.39 4.86–15.50 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 54.31 47.52–61.10 45.85–62.77 | 45.31 38.52–52.09 36.85–53.76 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 473 406–541 388–559 | 430 363–496 346–514 | 903 769–1037 734–1072 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.90 75.87–83.93 74.58–85.22 | 76.61 72.28–80.93 70.97–82.24 | — | 64% 31% |
| Fouls | 11.79 8.95–14.62 8.19–15.38 | 14.76 11.82–17.71 11.07–18.46 | 26.55 20.77–32.33 19.26–33.83 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.89 0.79–2.98 0.50–3.27 | 3.65 1.39–5.90 0.80–6.49 | 37% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.17 0.81–3.44 | 2.70 1.57–3.82 1.27–4.12 | 4.82 2.64–6.99 2.08–7.55 | 31% 18% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.24–4.11 0.85–4.50 | 3.94 2.38–5.49 1.96–5.92 | 6.61 3.62–9.60 2.81–10.41 | 24% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+