DFB Pokal·Round of 32·
DFB Pokal·Round of 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.063.49safe0.46–2.401.21–2.921.67–5.31safer0.21–2.650.98–3.141.19–5.79
Shots on target
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.965.8210.78safe3.10–6.824.08–7.567.18–14.39safer2.61–7.313.61–8.036.22–15.34
Total shots
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3515.7830.13safe10.43–18.2812.21–19.3422.64–37.62safer9.34–19.3711.26–20.3020.59–39.67
Shots in box
22%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction8.3711.2319.60safe5.43–11.318.55–13.9113.98–25.23safer4.60–12.147.81–14.6512.41–26.79
Blocked shots
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.773.817.58safe1.89–5.652.16–5.474.05–11.12safer1.35–6.201.67–5.963.01–12.16
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction5.265.5510.82safe3.05–7.483.55–7.556.60–15.03safer2.48–8.053.02–8.095.50–16.14
Possession %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction50.2549.47safe43.46–57.0442.69–56.26safer41.79–58.7141.02–57.93
Passes
53%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction422412833safe355–489345–478700–967safer337–507328–496664–1003
Pass accuracy %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction75.7076.50safe71.67–79.7372.18–80.83safer70.38–81.0270.87–82.14
Fouls
24%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9715.2227.19safe9.13–14.8112.28–18.1721.41–32.97safer8.38–15.5611.53–18.9219.91–34.48
Offsides
27%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.243.81safe0.40–2.721.15–3.341.55–6.06safer0.10–3.020.86–3.630.96–6.65
Yellow cards
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.214.10safe0.83–2.931.08–3.341.92–6.27safer0.57–3.200.79–3.631.36–6.83
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.130.26safe0.00–0.300.00–0.310.00–0.61safer0.00–0.450.00–0.450.00–0.89
GK saves
47%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.653.326.97safe2.22–5.091.76–4.883.98–9.96safer1.83–5.481.34–5.303.17–10.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.46–2.40 0.21–2.65 | 2.06 1.21–2.92 0.98–3.14 | 3.49 1.67–5.31 1.19–5.79 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Shots on target | 4.96 3.10–6.82 2.61–7.31 | 5.82 4.08–7.56 3.61–8.03 | 10.78 7.18–14.39 6.22–15.34 | 34% 54% |
| Total shots | 14.35 10.43–18.28 9.34–19.37 | 15.78 12.21–19.34 11.26–20.30 | 30.13 22.64–37.62 20.59–39.67 | 36% 57% |
| Shots in box | 8.37 5.43–11.31 4.60–12.14 | 11.23 8.55–13.91 7.81–14.65 | 19.60 13.98–25.23 12.41–26.79 | 22% 70% |
| Blocked shots | 3.77 1.89–5.65 1.35–6.20 | 3.81 2.16–5.47 1.67–5.96 | 7.58 4.05–11.12 3.01–12.16 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 5.26 3.05–7.48 2.48–8.05 | 5.55 3.55–7.55 3.02–8.09 | 10.82 6.60–15.03 5.50–16.14 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 50.25 43.46–57.04 41.79–58.71 | 49.47 42.69–56.26 41.02–57.93 | — | 49% 46% |
| Passes | 422 355–489 337–507 | 412 345–478 328–496 | 833 700–967 664–1003 | 53% 46% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.70 71.67–79.73 70.38–81.02 | 76.50 72.18–80.83 70.87–82.14 | — | 43% 52% |
| Fouls | 11.97 9.13–14.81 8.38–15.56 | 15.22 12.28–18.17 11.53–18.92 | 27.19 21.41–32.97 19.91–34.48 | 24% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 2.24 1.15–3.34 0.86–3.63 | 3.81 1.55–6.06 0.96–6.65 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.57–3.20 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 4.10 1.92–6.27 1.36–6.83 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% |
| GK saves | 3.65 2.22–5.09 1.83–5.48 | 3.32 1.76–4.88 1.34–5.30 | 6.97 3.98–9.96 3.17–10.78 | 47% 15% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.