DFB Pokal·Round of 32·
DFB Pokal·Round of 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
19%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.182.383.56safe0.21–2.151.53–3.241.74–5.39safer0.00–2.401.30–3.461.26–5.87
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.957.4511.40safe2.09–5.815.71–9.197.79–15.00safer1.60–6.305.24–9.666.84–15.96
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2318.9329.16safe6.31–14.1615.37–22.4921.68–36.65safer5.22–15.2514.41–23.4519.63–38.70
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction7.0011.3118.31safe4.06–9.948.63–13.9912.69–23.93safer3.23–10.777.89–14.7311.12–25.50
Blocked shots
19%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.364.076.44safe0.48–4.252.42–5.732.90–9.97safer0.00–4.791.93–6.221.87–11.01
Corners
16%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction4.056.8010.85safe1.84–6.264.80–8.806.64–15.06safer1.26–6.844.27–9.335.53–16.17
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction41.1759.72safe34.37–47.9652.94–66.51safer32.71–49.6251.27–68.18
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction381553934safe314–448487–620800–1068safer296–466469–637765–1103
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction73.3683.51safe69.33–77.3979.18–87.83safer68.04–78.6877.88–89.14
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5414.1225.66safe8.71–14.3811.17–17.0619.88–31.44safer7.95–15.1410.42–17.8118.37–32.95
Offsides
25%
21%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.163.58safe0.26–2.581.07–3.251.33–5.83safer0.00–2.880.78–3.540.74–6.42
Yellow cards
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.973.91safe0.89–2.990.84–3.101.73–6.09safer0.62–3.250.55–3.391.18–6.65
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.782.537.31safe3.34–6.210.98–4.094.32–10.30safer2.95–6.600.55–4.513.51–11.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.21–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 2.38 1.53–3.24 1.30–3.46 | 3.56 1.74–5.39 1.26–5.87 | 18% 19% 64% |
| Shots on target | 3.95 2.09–5.81 1.60–6.30 | 7.45 5.71–9.19 5.24–9.66 | 11.40 7.79–15.00 6.84–15.96 | 81% |
| Total shots | 10.23 6.31–14.16 5.22–15.25 | 18.93 15.37–22.49 14.41–23.45 | 29.16 21.68–36.65 19.63–38.70 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 7.00 4.06–9.94 3.23–10.77 | 11.31 8.63–13.99 7.89–14.73 | 18.31 12.69–23.93 11.12–25.50 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 2.36 0.48–4.25 0.00–4.79 | 4.07 2.42–5.73 1.93–6.22 | 6.44 2.90–9.97 1.87–11.01 | 19% 68% |
| Corners | 4.05 1.84–6.26 1.26–6.84 | 6.80 4.80–8.80 4.27–9.33 | 10.85 6.64–15.06 5.53–16.17 | 16% 75% |
| Possession % | 41.17 34.37–47.96 32.71–49.62 | 59.72 52.94–66.51 51.27–68.18 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 381 314–448 296–466 | 553 487–620 469–637 | 934 800–1068 765–1103 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.36 69.33–77.39 68.04–78.68 | 83.51 79.18–87.83 77.88–89.14 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 11.54 8.71–14.38 7.95–15.14 | 14.12 11.17–17.06 10.42–17.81 | 25.66 19.88–31.44 18.37–32.95 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 2.16 1.07–3.25 0.78–3.54 | 3.58 1.33–5.83 0.74–6.42 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.62–3.25 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.91 1.73–6.09 1.18–6.65 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 4.78 3.34–6.21 2.95–6.60 | 2.53 0.98–4.09 0.55–4.51 | 7.31 4.32–10.30 3.51–11.11 | 74% 15% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.