DFB Pokal·Round of 32·
DFB Pokal·Round of 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.362.173.53safe0.39–2.331.32–3.021.71–5.36safer0.14–2.581.09–3.251.23–5.84
Shots on target
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.856.1411.00safe2.99–6.724.40–7.897.39–14.60safer2.50–7.213.93–8.356.44–15.56
Total shots
52%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0515.2131.25safe12.12–19.9711.64–18.7723.76–38.74safer11.03–21.0610.68–19.7321.71–40.79
Shots in box
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0910.4319.52safe6.15–12.037.75–13.1113.89–25.14safer5.32–12.867.01–13.8512.33–26.71
Blocked shots
39%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.683.967.64safe1.80–5.562.30–5.614.10–11.17safer1.25–6.111.81–6.103.07–12.21
Corners
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction5.115.7610.87safe2.90–7.323.76–7.766.66–15.08safer2.32–7.903.23–8.295.55–16.19
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction39.0561.18safe32.26–45.8454.40–67.97safer30.59–47.5152.72–69.64
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction340543883safe273–407476–609749–1016safer255–426459–626713–1052
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction69.2278.83safe65.19–73.2574.51–83.16safer63.90–74.5473.20–84.47
Fouls
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6010.0423.64safe10.76–16.437.10–12.9917.86–29.42safer10.00–17.196.35–13.7416.35–30.92
Offsides
62%
16%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.051.854.90safe1.89–4.210.76–2.942.65–7.15safer1.59–4.510.47–3.232.06–7.74
Yellow cards
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.753.62safe0.82–2.920.62–2.881.44–5.79safer0.55–3.180.33–3.170.88–6.35
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
50%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.833.297.12safe2.39–5.261.74–4.854.13–10.11safer2.00–5.651.31–5.273.32–10.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 2.17 1.32–3.02 1.09–3.25 | 3.53 1.71–5.36 1.23–5.84 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Shots on target | 4.85 2.99–6.72 2.50–7.21 | 6.14 4.40–7.89 3.93–8.35 | 11.00 7.39–14.60 6.44–15.56 | 29% 59% |
| Total shots | 16.05 12.12–19.97 11.03–21.06 | 15.21 11.64–18.77 10.68–19.73 | 31.25 23.76–38.74 21.71–40.79 | 52% 41% |
| Shots in box | 9.09 6.15–12.03 5.32–12.86 | 10.43 7.75–13.11 7.01–13.85 | 19.52 13.89–25.14 12.33–26.71 | 34% 58% |
| Blocked shots | 3.68 1.80–5.56 1.25–6.11 | 3.96 2.30–5.61 1.81–6.10 | 7.64 4.10–11.17 3.07–12.21 | 39% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 5.11 2.90–7.32 2.32–7.90 | 5.76 3.76–7.76 3.23–8.29 | 10.87 6.66–15.08 5.55–16.19 | 36% 52% |
| Possession % | 39.05 32.26–45.84 30.59–47.51 | 61.18 54.40–67.97 52.72–69.64 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 340 273–407 255–426 | 543 476–609 459–626 | 883 749–1016 713–1052 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.22 65.19–73.25 63.90–74.54 | 78.83 74.51–83.16 73.20–84.47 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 13.60 10.76–16.43 10.00–17.19 | 10.04 7.10–12.99 6.35–13.74 | 23.64 17.86–29.42 16.35–30.92 | 74% 20% |
| Offsides | 3.05 1.89–4.21 1.59–4.51 | 1.85 0.76–2.94 0.47–3.23 | 4.90 2.65–7.15 2.06–7.74 | 62% 16% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.55–3.18 | 1.75 0.62–2.88 0.33–3.17 | 3.62 1.44–5.79 0.88–6.35 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.83 2.39–5.26 2.00–5.65 | 3.29 1.74–4.85 1.31–5.27 | 7.12 4.13–10.11 3.32–10.93 | 50% 15% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+