DFB Pokal·Round of 32·
DFB Pokal·Round of 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
21%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.203.32safe1.15–3.090.34–2.051.50–5.14safer0.90–3.340.12–2.281.02–5.62
Shots on target
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction6.014.3210.33safe4.15–7.872.57–6.066.72–13.93safer3.66–8.362.11–6.525.77–14.89
Total shots
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction15.8711.6027.47safe11.95–19.798.04–15.1619.98–34.96safer10.85–20.897.08–16.1217.93–37.01
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction11.088.2219.31safe8.14–14.035.54–10.9013.68–24.93safer7.31–14.854.80–11.6412.11–26.50
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.612.997.61safe2.73–6.501.34–4.654.07–11.14safer2.19–7.040.85–5.143.04–12.18
Corners
68%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.614.5611.17safe4.40–8.832.56–6.566.96–15.38safer3.82–9.402.03–7.095.85–16.49
Possession %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction55.5543.09safe48.76–62.3436.30–49.87safer47.09–64.0134.63–51.54
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction549420969safe481–616354–487835–1102safer463–634336–504799–1138
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction79.6370.92safe75.60–83.6666.60–75.24safer74.30–84.9565.29–76.55
Fouls
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0910.7419.83safe6.25–11.937.79–13.6814.05–25.61safer5.50–12.697.04–14.4312.54–27.12
Offsides
50%
21%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.191.663.85safe1.03–3.350.57–2.761.59–6.10safer0.72–3.650.28–3.041.00–6.69
Yellow cards
30%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.683.00safe0.26–2.360.55–2.810.82–5.17safer0.00–2.630.26–3.100.26–5.73
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
27%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.924.016.93safe1.49–4.362.45–5.573.94–9.93safer1.10–4.752.03–5.993.13–10.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.12 1.15–3.09 0.90–3.34 | 1.20 0.34–2.05 0.12–2.28 | 3.32 1.50–5.14 1.02–5.62 | 58% 21% 21% |
| Shots on target | 6.01 4.15–7.87 3.66–8.36 | 4.32 2.57–6.06 2.11–6.52 | 10.33 6.72–13.93 5.77–14.89 | 64% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.87 11.95–19.79 10.85–20.89 | 11.60 8.04–15.16 7.08–16.12 | 27.47 19.98–34.96 17.93–37.01 | 76% 18% |
| Shots in box | 11.08 8.14–14.03 7.31–14.85 | 8.22 5.54–10.90 4.80–11.64 | 19.31 13.68–24.93 12.11–26.50 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.61 2.73–6.50 2.19–7.04 | 2.99 1.34–4.65 0.85–5.14 | 7.61 4.07–11.14 3.04–12.18 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 6.61 4.40–8.83 3.82–9.40 | 4.56 2.56–6.56 2.03–7.09 | 11.17 6.96–15.38 5.85–16.49 | 68% 22% |
| Possession % | 55.55 48.76–62.34 47.09–64.01 | 43.09 36.30–49.87 34.63–51.54 | — | 75% 21% |
| Passes | 549 481–616 463–634 | 420 354–487 336–504 | 969 835–1102 799–1138 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.63 75.60–83.66 74.30–84.95 | 70.92 66.60–75.24 65.29–76.55 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 9.09 6.25–11.93 5.50–12.69 | 10.74 7.79–13.68 7.04–14.43 | 19.83 14.05–25.61 12.54–27.12 | 31% 60% |
| Offsides | 2.19 1.03–3.35 0.72–3.65 | 1.66 0.57–2.76 0.28–3.04 | 3.85 1.59–6.10 1.00–6.69 | 50% 21% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.26–2.36 0.00–2.63 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.00 0.82–5.17 0.26–5.73 | 30% 24% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.92 1.49–4.36 1.10–4.75 | 4.01 2.45–5.57 2.03–5.99 | 6.93 3.94–9.93 3.13–10.74 | 27% 14% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.