Predicted match statistics
squad not published · form-based estimateGoals
58%
23%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.840.972.81safe0.87–2.800.12–1.830.99–4.63safer0.62–3.060.00–2.060.51–5.11
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.933.418.34safe3.07–6.801.66–5.154.74–11.95safer2.58–7.291.20–5.613.78–12.90
Total shots
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction11.579.0820.65safe7.65–15.505.52–12.6413.17–28.14safer6.56–16.594.56–13.6011.12–30.19
Shots in box
62%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction8.266.5614.82safe5.32–11.203.87–9.249.19–20.44safer4.49–12.033.14–9.977.63–22.01
Blocked shots
48%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.032.605.63safe1.14–4.910.95–4.262.10–9.17safer0.60–5.450.46–4.751.06–10.20
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.704.039.73safe3.49–7.912.03–6.035.52–13.95safer2.91–8.491.50–6.564.41–15.05
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.3046.20safe46.50–60.0939.41–52.98safer44.84–61.7637.74–54.66
Passes
76%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction460375835safe393–528309–441702–969safer375–546291–459666–1005
Pass accuracy %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction74.2170.32safe70.18–78.2465.99–74.64safer68.89–79.5364.68–75.95
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2913.5826.87safe10.45–16.1210.64–16.5321.09–32.65safer9.69–16.889.89–17.2719.58–34.15
Offsides
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.863.89safe0.88–3.200.76–2.951.64–6.15safer0.58–3.500.47–3.241.05–6.74
Yellow cards
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.354.06safe0.66–2.761.22–3.471.88–6.24safer0.40–3.030.93–3.771.32–6.79
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.300.00–0.57safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.583.395.97safe1.15–4.021.83–4.942.98–8.96safer0.76–4.411.41–5.372.17–9.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.84 0.87–2.80 0.62–3.06 | 0.97 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 58% 23% 20% |
| Shots on target | 4.93 3.07–6.80 2.58–7.29 | 3.41 1.66–5.15 1.20–5.61 | 8.34 4.74–11.95 3.78–12.90 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 11.57 7.65–15.50 6.56–16.59 | 9.08 5.52–12.64 4.56–13.60 | 20.65 13.17–28.14 11.12–30.19 | 67% 25% |
| Shots in box | 8.26 5.32–11.20 4.49–12.03 | 6.56 3.87–9.24 3.14–9.97 | 14.82 9.19–20.44 7.63–22.01 | 62% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 3.03 1.14–4.91 0.60–5.45 | 2.60 0.95–4.26 0.46–4.75 | 5.63 2.10–9.17 1.06–10.20 | 48% 17% 35% |
| Corners | 5.70 3.49–7.91 2.91–8.49 | 4.03 2.03–6.03 1.50–6.56 | 9.73 5.52–13.95 4.41–15.05 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 53.30 46.50–60.09 44.84–61.76 | 46.20 39.41–52.98 37.74–54.66 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 460 393–528 375–546 | 375 309–441 291–459 | 835 702–969 666–1005 | 76% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.21 70.18–78.24 68.89–79.53 | 70.32 65.99–74.64 64.68–75.95 | — | 67% 29% |
| Fouls | 13.29 10.45–16.12 9.69–16.88 | 13.58 10.64–16.53 9.89–17.27 | 26.87 21.09–32.65 19.58–34.15 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 1.86 0.76–2.95 0.47–3.24 | 3.89 1.64–6.15 1.05–6.74 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.40–3.03 | 2.35 1.22–3.47 0.93–3.77 | 4.06 1.88–6.24 1.32–6.79 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.58 1.15–4.02 0.76–4.41 | 3.39 1.83–4.94 1.41–5.37 | 5.97 2.98–8.96 2.17–9.78 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+