Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.550.883.43safe1.58–3.520.03–1.741.61–5.25safer1.33–3.770.00–1.971.13–5.73
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.263.2510.51safe5.40–9.131.51–4.996.91–14.12safer4.91–9.621.04–5.465.95–15.07
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.829.0129.83safe16.89–24.745.45–12.5722.34–37.31safer15.80–25.834.49–13.5320.29–39.36
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction13.736.3020.03safe10.79–16.673.62–8.9814.40–25.65safer9.96–17.502.88–9.7212.84–27.22
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.762.468.22safe3.88–7.640.81–4.124.69–11.76safer3.34–8.190.32–4.613.65–12.79
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.373.2410.62safe5.16–9.591.24–5.246.41–14.83safer4.59–10.160.71–5.785.30–15.94
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction67.6633.02safe60.87–74.4526.24–39.81safer59.20–76.1224.56–41.48
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction662334995safe594–729267–400862–1129safer576–747250–418826–1165
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction90.2175.06safe86.18–94.2470.73–79.38safer84.88–95.5369.42–80.69
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction10.499.9820.46safe7.65–13.337.03–12.9214.68–26.25safer6.90–14.086.28–13.6713.18–27.75
Offsides
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.963.99safe0.87–3.190.87–3.061.74–6.25safer0.57–3.490.58–3.341.15–6.84
Yellow cards
31%
25%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.532.79safe0.20–2.300.40–2.660.61–4.96safer0.00–2.570.11–2.950.05–5.52
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.134.786.91safe0.69–3.563.23–6.343.92–9.90safer0.30–3.952.80–6.773.11–10.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.55 1.58–3.52 1.33–3.77 | 0.88 0.03–1.74 0.00–1.97 | 3.43 1.61–5.25 1.13–5.73 | 73% 16% |
| Shots on target | 7.26 5.40–9.13 4.91–9.62 | 3.25 1.51–4.99 1.04–5.46 | 10.51 6.91–14.12 5.95–15.07 | 86% |
| Total shots | 20.82 16.89–24.74 15.80–25.83 | 9.01 5.45–12.57 4.49–13.53 | 29.83 22.34–37.31 20.29–39.36 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.73 10.79–16.67 9.96–17.50 | 6.30 3.62–8.98 2.88–9.72 | 20.03 14.40–25.65 12.84–27.22 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 5.76 3.88–7.64 3.34–8.19 | 2.46 0.81–4.12 0.32–4.61 | 8.22 4.69–11.76 3.65–12.79 | 84% |
| Corners | 7.37 5.16–9.59 4.59–10.16 | 3.24 1.24–5.24 0.71–5.78 | 10.62 6.41–14.83 5.30–15.94 | 87% |
| Possession % | 67.66 60.87–74.45 59.20–76.12 | 33.02 26.24–39.81 24.56–41.48 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 662 594–729 576–747 | 334 267–400 250–418 | 995 862–1129 826–1165 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 90.21 86.18–94.24 84.88–95.53 | 75.06 70.73–79.38 69.42–80.69 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 10.49 7.65–13.33 6.90–14.08 | 9.98 7.03–12.92 6.28–13.67 | 20.46 14.68–26.25 13.18–27.75 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 2.03 0.87–3.19 0.57–3.49 | 1.96 0.87–3.06 0.58–3.34 | 3.99 1.74–6.25 1.15–6.84 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.25 0.20–2.30 0.00–2.57 | 1.53 0.40–2.66 0.11–2.95 | 2.79 0.61–4.96 0.05–5.52 | 31% 25% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.13 0.69–3.56 0.30–3.95 | 4.78 3.23–6.34 2.80–6.77 | 6.91 3.92–9.90 3.11–10.72 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+