Predicted match statistics
squad not published · form-based estimateGoals
48%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.182.80safe0.65–2.590.33–2.040.98–4.63safer0.40–2.840.10–2.270.50–5.11
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.123.778.89safe3.26–6.982.03–5.515.28–12.49safer2.77–7.471.56–5.984.33–13.45
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction13.919.2423.16safe9.99–17.845.68–12.8115.67–30.64safer8.89–18.934.72–13.7713.62–32.69
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction8.936.8715.79safe5.99–11.874.19–9.5510.17–21.42safer5.16–12.703.45–10.298.60–22.98
Blocked shots
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.203.036.23safe1.32–5.091.37–4.682.70–9.77safer0.78–5.630.88–5.171.66–10.80
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.414.289.68safe3.20–7.622.28–6.285.47–13.90safer2.62–8.201.74–6.814.36–15.01
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction54.4146.89safe47.62–61.2040.11–53.68safer45.95–62.8738.43–55.35
Passes
79%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction440341781safe373–507275–408648–915safer355–525257–425612–951
Pass accuracy %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction77.9369.73safe73.90–81.9665.41–74.05safer72.61–83.2564.10–75.36
Fouls
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1513.2425.39safe9.31–14.9910.30–16.1919.61–31.17safer8.56–15.749.55–16.9418.10–32.68
Offsides
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.943.89safe0.79–3.110.84–3.031.64–6.14safer0.49–3.410.56–3.321.05–6.73
Yellow cards
30%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.612.073.68safe0.56–2.660.94–3.201.50–5.85safer0.29–2.930.65–3.490.94–6.41
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
30%
15%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.823.616.43safe1.38–4.252.06–5.173.44–9.42safer0.99–4.641.63–5.602.63–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.65–2.59 0.40–2.84 | 1.18 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 2.80 0.98–4.63 0.50–5.11 | 48% 25% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.12 3.26–6.98 2.77–7.47 | 3.77 2.03–5.51 1.56–5.98 | 8.89 5.28–12.49 4.33–13.45 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 13.91 9.99–17.84 8.89–18.93 | 9.24 5.68–12.81 4.72–13.77 | 23.16 15.67–30.64 13.62–32.69 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 8.93 5.99–11.87 5.16–12.70 | 6.87 4.19–9.55 3.45–10.29 | 15.79 10.17–21.42 8.60–22.98 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 3.20 1.32–5.09 0.78–5.63 | 3.03 1.37–4.68 0.88–5.17 | 6.23 2.70–9.77 1.66–10.80 | 45% 16% 39% |
| Corners | 5.41 3.20–7.62 2.62–8.20 | 4.28 2.28–6.28 1.74–6.81 | 9.68 5.47–13.90 4.36–15.01 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 54.41 47.62–61.20 45.95–62.87 | 46.89 40.11–53.68 38.43–55.35 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 440 373–507 355–525 | 341 275–408 257–425 | 781 648–915 612–951 | 79% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.93 73.90–81.96 72.61–83.25 | 69.73 65.41–74.05 64.10–75.36 | — | 84% 13% |
| Fouls | 12.15 9.31–14.99 8.56–15.74 | 13.24 10.30–16.19 9.55–16.94 | 25.39 19.61–31.17 18.10–32.68 | 38% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.95 0.79–3.11 0.49–3.41 | 1.94 0.84–3.03 0.56–3.32 | 3.89 1.64–6.14 1.05–6.73 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.29–2.93 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 3.68 1.50–5.85 0.94–6.41 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.38–4.25 0.99–4.64 | 3.61 2.06–5.17 1.63–5.60 | 6.43 3.44–9.42 2.63–10.24 | 30% 15% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.