FA Cup·3rd Round Qualifying·
FA Cup·3rd Round Qualifying·Predicted match statistics
squad not published · form-based estimateGoals
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.162.95safe0.82–2.750.31–2.021.12–4.77safer0.57–3.010.08–2.240.64–5.25
Shots on target
57%
13%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.763.768.51safe2.89–6.622.01–5.504.91–12.12safer2.40–7.111.55–5.963.95–13.07
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction11.348.6720.01safe7.42–15.275.11–12.2412.53–27.50safer6.32–16.364.15–13.2010.48–29.55
Shots in box
59%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction8.186.7614.94safe5.24–11.134.08–9.449.32–20.57safer4.41–11.963.34–10.187.75–22.13
Blocked shots
45%
18%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.762.515.27safe0.88–4.640.85–4.161.73–8.80safer0.34–5.190.36–4.650.70–9.84
Corners
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.513.819.32safe3.30–7.721.81–5.815.10–13.53safer2.72–8.301.27–6.344.00–14.64
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.0245.97safe46.23–59.8139.18–52.75safer44.56–61.4837.51–54.43
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction455365820safe387–522299–432686–954safer369–540281–449651–989
Pass accuracy %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction73.2270.03safe69.19–77.2565.71–74.36safer67.90–78.5464.40–75.66
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3311.6023.93safe9.49–15.168.66–14.5518.14–29.71safer8.73–15.927.91–15.2916.64–31.21
Offsides
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.913.95safe0.88–3.200.82–3.001.70–6.20safer0.58–3.500.53–3.291.11–6.79
Yellow cards
31%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.993.55safe0.52–2.620.86–3.111.38–5.73safer0.25–2.880.57–3.410.82–6.29
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
34%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.653.165.82safe1.22–4.091.61–4.722.83–8.81safer0.83–4.481.18–5.142.01–9.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.79 0.82–2.75 0.57–3.01 | 1.16 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.24 | 2.95 1.12–4.77 0.64–5.25 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.76 2.89–6.62 2.40–7.11 | 3.76 2.01–5.50 1.55–5.96 | 8.51 4.91–12.12 3.95–13.07 | 57% 13% 30% |
| Total shots | 11.34 7.42–15.27 6.32–16.36 | 8.67 5.11–12.24 4.15–13.20 | 20.01 12.53–27.50 10.48–29.55 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 8.18 5.24–11.13 4.41–11.96 | 6.76 4.08–9.44 3.34–10.18 | 14.94 9.32–20.57 7.75–22.13 | 59% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 2.76 0.88–4.64 0.34–5.19 | 2.51 0.85–4.16 0.36–4.65 | 5.27 1.73–8.80 0.70–9.84 | 45% 18% 37% |
| Corners | 5.51 3.30–7.72 2.72–8.30 | 3.81 1.81–5.81 1.27–6.34 | 9.32 5.10–13.53 4.00–14.64 | 65% 23% |
| Possession % | 53.02 46.23–59.81 44.56–61.48 | 45.97 39.18–52.75 37.51–54.43 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 455 387–522 369–540 | 365 299–432 281–449 | 820 686–954 651–989 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.22 69.19–77.25 67.90–78.54 | 70.03 65.71–74.36 64.40–75.66 | — | 64% 32% |
| Fouls | 12.33 9.49–15.16 8.73–15.92 | 11.60 8.66–14.55 7.91–15.29 | 23.93 18.14–29.71 16.64–31.21 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 1.91 0.82–3.00 0.53–3.29 | 3.95 1.70–6.20 1.11–6.79 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.25–2.88 | 1.99 0.86–3.11 0.57–3.41 | 3.55 1.38–5.73 0.82–6.29 | 31% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.22–4.09 0.83–4.48 | 3.16 1.61–4.72 1.18–5.14 | 5.82 2.83–8.81 2.01–9.62 | 34% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.