Superliga·Etapa 11·
Superliga·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
58%
22%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,921,042,96sigur0,95–2,890,19–1,901,14–4,78mai sigur0,70–3,140,00–2,130,66–5,26
Șuturi pe poartă
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,503,409,90sigur4,63–8,361,66–5,146,29–13,50mai sigur4,14–8,851,19–5,615,34–14,46
Total șuturi
93%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,4210,0528,47sigur14,50–22,356,48–13,6120,98–35,96mai sigur13,41–23,445,52–14,5718,93–38,01
Șuturi din careu
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,176,4918,65sigur9,23–15,113,80–9,1713,03–24,28mai sigur8,40–15,943,07–9,9011,46–25,84
Șuturi blocate
75%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,152,787,93sigur3,27–7,031,13–4,444,40–11,47mai sigur2,72–7,580,64–4,933,36–12,51
Cornere
70%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,143,9410,07sigur3,92–8,351,94–5,945,86–14,29mai sigur3,35–8,921,40–6,474,75–15,39
Posesie %
78%
19%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,4043,30sigur50,61–64,1936,51–50,08mai sigur48,94–65,8634,84–51,75
Pase
81%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție518412930sigur451–586346–479797–1064mai sigur433–604328–496761–1100
Precizie pase %
49%
46%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,3270,11sigur66,29–74,3565,78–74,43mai sigur65,00–75,6464,48–75,74
Faulturi
48%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,2512,0224,27sigur9,41–15,089,07–14,9618,48–30,05mai sigur8,65–15,848,33–15,7116,98–31,55
Ofsaiduri
45%
23%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,413,14sigur0,58–2,900,31–2,500,89–5,40mai sigur0,28–3,200,02–2,790,30–5,99
Cartonașe galbene
25%
21%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,412,133,54sigur0,37–2,461,00–3,261,36–5,72mai sigur0,10–2,730,71–3,550,81–6,28
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,100,15sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,420,00–0,78
Parade portar
18%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,604,457,06sigur1,17–4,042,90–6,014,06–10,05mai sigur0,78–4,432,47–6,443,25–10,86
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,92 0,95–2,89 0,70–3,14 | 1,04 0,19–1,90 0,00–2,13 | 2,96 1,14–4,78 0,66–5,26 | 58% 22% 20% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,50 4,63–8,36 4,14–8,85 | 3,40 1,66–5,14 1,19–5,61 | 9,90 6,29–13,50 5,34–14,46 | 80% |
| Total șuturi | 18,42 14,50–22,35 13,41–23,44 | 10,05 6,48–13,61 5,52–14,57 | 28,47 20,98–35,96 18,93–38,01 | 93% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,17 9,23–15,11 8,40–15,94 | 6,49 3,80–9,17 3,07–9,90 | 18,65 13,03–24,28 11,46–25,84 | 89% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,15 3,27–7,03 2,72–7,58 | 2,78 1,13–4,44 0,64–4,93 | 7,93 4,40–11,47 3,36–12,51 | 75% 15% |
| Cornere | 6,14 3,92–8,35 3,35–8,92 | 3,94 1,94–5,94 1,40–6,47 | 10,07 5,86–14,29 4,75–15,39 | 70% 19% |
| Posesie % | 57,40 50,61–64,19 48,94–65,86 | 43,30 36,51–50,08 34,84–51,75 | — | 78% 19% |
| Pase | 518 451–586 433–604 | 412 346–479 328–496 | 930 797–1064 761–1100 | 81% 19% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,32 66,29–74,35 65,00–75,64 | 70,11 65,78–74,43 64,48–75,74 | — | 49% 46% |
| Faulturi | 12,25 9,41–15,08 8,65–15,84 | 12,02 9,07–14,96 8,33–15,71 | 24,27 18,48–30,05 16,98–31,55 | 48% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,74 0,58–2,90 0,28–3,20 | 1,41 0,31–2,50 0,02–2,79 | 3,14 0,89–5,40 0,30–5,99 | 45% 23% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,41 0,37–2,46 0,10–2,73 | 2,13 1,00–3,26 0,71–3,55 | 3,54 1,36–5,72 0,81–6,28 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,60 1,17–4,04 0,78–4,43 | 4,45 2,90–6,01 2,47–6,44 | 7,06 4,06–10,05 3,25–10,86 | 18% 69% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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