Superliga·Etapa 19·
Superliga·Etapa 19·Statistici estimate
Goluri
27%
23%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,331,863,19sigur0,36–2,291,01–2,711,36–5,01mai sigur0,11–2,550,78–2,940,88–5,49
Șuturi pe poartă
28%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,335,679,99sigur2,46–6,193,92–7,416,39–13,60mai sigur1,97–6,683,46–7,885,43–14,55
Total șuturi
26%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,2716,3229,59sigur9,34–17,1912,76–19,8822,10–37,07mai sigur8,25–18,2811,80–20,8420,05–39,13
Șuturi din careu
23%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,6211,4420,06sigur5,68–11,568,76–14,1214,43–25,68mai sigur4,85–12,398,02–14,8612,87–27,25
Șuturi blocate
32%
14%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,554,317,86sigur1,67–5,432,66–5,964,32–11,39mai sigur1,12–5,982,16–6,453,29–12,43
Cornere
36%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,715,3010,01sigur2,50–6,923,30–7,305,80–14,23mai sigur1,92–7,502,77–7,844,69–15,33
Posesie %
40%
55%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,3951,58sigur41,60–55,1844,79–58,36mai sigur39,93–56,8543,12–60,03
Pase
48%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție447453900sigur380–515386–519767–1034mai sigur362–533369–537731–1070
Precizie pase %
27%
69%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,5871,88sigur63,55–71,6167,55–76,20mai sigur62,26–72,9066,24–77,51
Faulturi
40%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,4212,1823,60sigur8,58–14,269,23–15,1217,82–29,38mai sigur7,83–15,018,49–15,8716,31–30,89
Ofsaiduri
38%
23%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,601,603,20sigur0,44–2,760,51–2,690,95–5,46mai sigur0,14–3,060,22–2,980,36–6,05
Cartonașe galbene
38%
21%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,932,003,93sigur0,88–2,980,87–3,131,75–6,11mai sigur0,62–3,250,58–3,421,20–6,67
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,100,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,420,00–0,81
Parade portar
59%
14%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,082,997,07sigur2,64–5,521,43–4,554,08–10,06mai sigur2,26–5,901,01–4,973,26–10,87
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,33 0,36–2,29 0,11–2,55 | 1,86 1,01–2,71 0,78–2,94 | 3,19 1,36–5,01 0,88–5,49 | 27% 23% 50% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,33 2,46–6,19 1,97–6,68 | 5,67 3,92–7,41 3,46–7,88 | 9,99 6,39–13,60 5,43–14,55 | 28% 60% |
| Total șuturi | 13,27 9,34–17,19 8,25–18,28 | 16,32 12,76–19,88 11,80–20,84 | 29,59 22,10–37,07 20,05–39,13 | 26% 68% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,62 5,68–11,56 4,85–12,39 | 11,44 8,76–14,12 8,02–14,86 | 20,06 14,43–25,68 12,87–27,25 | 23% 70% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,55 1,67–5,43 1,12–5,98 | 4,31 2,66–5,96 2,16–6,45 | 7,86 4,32–11,39 3,29–12,43 | 32% 14% 54% |
| Cornere | 4,71 2,50–6,92 1,92–7,50 | 5,30 3,30–7,30 2,77–7,84 | 10,01 5,80–14,23 4,69–15,33 | 36% 51% |
| Posesie % | 48,39 41,60–55,18 39,93–56,85 | 51,58 44,79–58,36 43,12–60,03 | — | 40% 55% |
| Pase | 447 380–515 362–533 | 453 386–519 369–537 | 900 767–1034 731–1070 | 48% 52% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,58 63,55–71,61 62,26–72,90 | 71,88 67,55–76,20 66,24–77,51 | — | 27% 69% |
| Faulturi | 11,42 8,58–14,26 7,83–15,01 | 12,18 9,23–15,12 8,49–15,87 | 23,60 17,82–29,38 16,31–30,89 | 40% 52% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,60 0,44–2,76 0,14–3,06 | 1,60 0,51–2,69 0,22–2,98 | 3,20 0,95–5,46 0,36–6,05 | 38% 23% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,93 0,88–2,98 0,62–3,25 | 2,00 0,87–3,13 0,58–3,42 | 3,93 1,75–6,11 1,20–6,67 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 4,08 2,64–5,52 2,26–5,90 | 2,99 1,43–4,55 1,01–4,97 | 7,07 4,08–10,06 3,26–10,87 | 59% 14% 27% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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