Eredivisie·Etapa 9·
Eredivisie·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
45%
26%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,481,142,62sigur0,52–2,450,28–1,990,80–4,45mai sigur0,26–2,700,06–2,220,32–4,93
Șuturi pe poartă
63%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,303,839,13sigur3,44–7,172,09–5,575,53–12,74mai sigur2,95–7,651,62–6,044,57–13,69
Total șuturi
77%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,0411,7027,74sigur12,11–19,968,14–15,2620,25–35,22mai sigur11,02–21,057,18–16,2218,20–37,27
Șuturi din careu
68%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,127,6917,81sigur7,17–13,065,01–10,3712,18–23,43mai sigur6,34–13,894,27–11,1110,62–25,00
Șuturi blocate
55%
14%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,293,427,71sigur2,41–6,171,77–5,074,17–11,25mai sigur1,86–6,711,28–5,573,14–12,28
Cornere
60%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,674,3810,05sigur3,46–7,892,38–6,385,84–14,26mai sigur2,88–8,461,84–6,914,73–15,37
Posesie %
69%
27%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,9245,73sigur48,13–61,7138,95–52,52mai sigur46,46–63,3837,28–54,19
Pase
78%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție483389872sigur416–551322–455739–1006mai sigur398–569305–473703–1042
Precizie pase %
50%
45%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,3969,83sigur66,36–74,4265,51–74,16mai sigur65,07–75,7164,20–75,46
Faulturi
54%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3411,3623,69sigur9,50–15,178,41–14,3017,91–29,48mai sigur8,74–15,937,67–15,0516,41–30,98
Ofsaiduri
44%
23%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,811,563,37sigur0,65–2,970,46–2,651,11–5,62mai sigur0,35–3,270,18–2,940,52–6,21
Cartonașe galbene
31%
21%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,682,123,80sigur0,63–2,730,99–3,251,62–5,98mai sigur0,36–2,990,70–3,541,06–6,54
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,100,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,420,00–0,81
Parade portar
29%
15%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,783,706,48sigur1,34–4,222,14–5,253,49–9,47mai sigur0,96–4,601,72–5,682,67–10,28
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,48 0,52–2,45 0,26–2,70 | 1,14 0,28–1,99 0,06–2,22 | 2,62 0,80–4,45 0,32–4,93 | 45% 26% 29% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,30 3,44–7,17 2,95–7,65 | 3,83 2,09–5,57 1,62–6,04 | 9,13 5,53–12,74 4,57–13,69 | 63% 25% |
| Total șuturi | 16,04 12,11–19,96 11,02–21,05 | 11,70 8,14–15,26 7,18–16,22 | 27,74 20,25–35,22 18,20–37,27 | 77% 18% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,12 7,17–13,06 6,34–13,89 | 7,69 5,01–10,37 4,27–11,11 | 17,81 12,18–23,43 10,62–25,00 | 68% 24% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,29 2,41–6,17 1,86–6,71 | 3,42 1,77–5,07 1,28–5,57 | 7,71 4,17–11,25 3,14–12,28 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Cornere | 5,67 3,46–7,89 2,88–8,46 | 4,38 2,38–6,38 1,84–6,91 | 10,05 5,84–14,26 4,73–15,37 | 60% 28% |
| Posesie % | 54,92 48,13–61,71 46,46–63,38 | 45,73 38,95–52,52 37,28–54,19 | — | 69% 27% |
| Pase | 483 416–551 398–569 | 389 322–455 305–473 | 872 739–1006 703–1042 | 78% 21% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,39 66,36–74,42 65,07–75,71 | 69,83 65,51–74,16 64,20–75,46 | — | 50% 45% |
| Faulturi | 12,34 9,50–15,17 8,74–15,93 | 11,36 8,41–14,30 7,67–15,05 | 23,69 17,91–29,48 16,41–30,98 | 54% 38% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,81 0,65–2,97 0,35–3,27 | 1,56 0,46–2,65 0,18–2,94 | 3,37 1,11–5,62 0,52–6,21 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,68 0,63–2,73 0,36–2,99 | 2,12 0,99–3,25 0,70–3,54 | 3,80 1,62–5,98 1,06–6,54 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,18 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,78 1,34–4,22 0,96–4,60 | 3,70 2,14–5,25 1,72–5,68 | 6,48 3,49–9,47 2,67–10,28 | 29% 15% 56% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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