Eredivisie·Etapa 25·
Eredivisie·Etapa 25·Statistici estimate
Goluri
33%
25%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,321,512,83sigur0,35–2,290,65–2,361,01–4,65mai sigur0,10–2,540,43–2,590,53–5,13
Șuturi pe poartă
39%
13%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,384,749,12sigur2,52–6,242,99–6,485,51–12,72mai sigur2,03–6,732,53–6,954,56–13,68
Total șuturi
42%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7613,2526,00sigur8,83–16,689,68–16,8118,52–33,49mai sigur7,74–17,778,72–17,7716,47–35,54
Șuturi din careu
51%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,497,8516,34sigur5,54–11,435,17–10,5310,71–21,96mai sigur4,71–12,264,43–11,279,15–23,53
Șuturi blocate
38%
15%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,363,626,99sigur1,48–5,251,97–5,283,45–10,52mai sigur0,94–5,791,48–5,772,42–11,56
Cornere
47%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,174,9310,10sigur2,95–7,382,93–6,935,89–14,31mai sigur2,38–7,952,40–7,464,78–15,42
Posesie %
28%
68%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,6154,69sigur38,82–52,4047,91–61,48mai sigur37,15–54,0746,24–63,15
Pase
26%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție402479881sigur334–469413–546747–1014mai sigur316–487395–563711–1050
Precizie pase %
19%
77%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,0074,20sigur63,97–72,0369,88–78,52mai sigur62,68–73,3268,57–79,83
Faulturi
33%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,1012,7123,81sigur8,26–13,939,77–15,6618,03–29,59mai sigur7,50–14,699,02–16,4116,52–31,10
Ofsaiduri
42%
22%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,871,753,62sigur0,71–3,030,66–2,841,37–5,87mai sigur0,41–3,330,37–3,130,78–6,46
Cartonașe galbene
34%
22%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,893,55sigur0,61–2,710,76–3,021,37–5,73mai sigur0,34–2,970,47–3,310,82–6,29
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,100,20sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,290,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,420,00–0,83
Parade portar
46%
16%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,242,966,20sigur1,81–4,681,40–4,513,21–9,19mai sigur1,42–5,070,98–4,942,39–10,00
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,32 0,35–2,29 0,10–2,54 | 1,51 0,65–2,36 0,43–2,59 | 2,83 1,01–4,65 0,53–5,13 | 33% 25% 42% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,38 2,52–6,24 2,03–6,73 | 4,74 2,99–6,48 2,53–6,95 | 9,12 5,51–12,72 4,56–13,68 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Total șuturi | 12,76 8,83–16,68 7,74–17,77 | 13,25 9,68–16,81 8,72–17,77 | 26,00 18,52–33,49 16,47–35,54 | 42% 50% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,49 5,54–11,43 4,71–12,26 | 7,85 5,17–10,53 4,43–11,27 | 16,34 10,71–21,96 9,15–23,53 | 51% 39% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,36 1,48–5,25 0,94–5,79 | 3,62 1,97–5,28 1,48–5,77 | 6,99 3,45–10,52 2,42–11,56 | 38% 15% 46% |
| Cornere | 5,17 2,95–7,38 2,38–7,95 | 4,93 2,93–6,93 2,40–7,46 | 10,10 5,89–14,31 4,78–15,42 | 47% 41% |
| Posesie % | 45,61 38,82–52,40 37,15–54,07 | 54,69 47,91–61,48 46,24–63,15 | — | 28% 68% |
| Pase | 402 334–469 316–487 | 479 413–546 395–563 | 881 747–1014 711–1050 | 26% 74% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,00 63,97–72,03 62,68–73,32 | 74,20 69,88–78,52 68,57–79,83 | — | 19% 77% |
| Faulturi | 11,10 8,26–13,93 7,50–14,69 | 12,71 9,77–15,66 9,02–16,41 | 23,81 18,03–29,59 16,52–31,10 | 33% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,87 0,71–3,03 0,41–3,33 | 1,75 0,66–2,84 0,37–3,13 | 3,62 1,37–5,87 0,78–6,46 | 42% 22% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,66 0,61–2,71 0,34–2,97 | 1,89 0,76–3,02 0,47–3,31 | 3,55 1,37–5,73 0,82–6,29 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,24 1,81–4,68 1,42–5,07 | 2,96 1,40–4,51 0,98–4,94 | 6,20 3,21–9,19 2,39–10,00 | 46% 16% 37% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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