Eredivisie·Etapa 9·
Eredivisie·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
55%
22%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,971,243,21sigur1,01–2,940,38–2,091,39–5,03mai sigur0,76–3,190,15–2,320,91–5,51
Șuturi pe poartă
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,184,3910,58sigur4,32–8,052,65–6,146,97–14,18mai sigur3,83–8,542,19–6,606,02–15,14
Total șuturi
79%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,0112,9931,00sigur14,08–21,939,43–16,5523,51–38,49mai sigur12,99–23,028,47–17,5121,46–40,54
Șuturi din careu
78%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,777,8019,58sigur8,83–14,725,12–10,4813,95–25,20mai sigur8,00–15,554,38–11,2212,39–26,77
Șuturi blocate
60%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,043,758,79sigur3,15–6,922,10–5,405,25–12,32mai sigur2,61–7,461,61–5,904,22–13,36
Cornere
63%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,574,9611,54sigur4,36–8,792,96–6,967,32–15,75mai sigur3,79–9,362,43–7,506,22–16,86
Posesie %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,7245,03sigur47,93–61,5138,24–51,81mai sigur46,26–63,1836,57–53,48
Pase
80%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție487385871sigur420–554318–451738–1005mai sigur401–572301–469702–1041
Precizie pase %
52%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,8669,92sigur66,83–74,8965,59–74,24mai sigur65,53–76,1864,28–75,55
Faulturi
32%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,1711,8021,97sigur7,33–13,018,86–14,7516,19–27,75mai sigur6,58–13,768,11–15,4914,69–29,26
Ofsaiduri
37%
25%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,441,472,91sigur0,28–2,600,38–2,570,66–5,17mai sigur0,00–2,900,09–2,850,07–5,76
Cartonașe galbene
29%
23%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,351,763,11sigur0,30–2,400,63–2,890,93–5,29mai sigur0,03–2,660,34–3,180,38–5,85
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,080,16sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,400,00–0,79
Parade portar
27%
14%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,224,387,61sigur1,79–4,662,83–5,944,62–10,60mai sigur1,40–5,052,40–6,373,80–11,41
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,97 1,01–2,94 0,76–3,19 | 1,24 0,38–2,09 0,15–2,32 | 3,21 1,39–5,03 0,91–5,51 | 55% 22% 24% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,18 4,32–8,05 3,83–8,54 | 4,39 2,65–6,14 2,19–6,60 | 10,58 6,97–14,18 6,02–15,14 | 65% 24% |
| Total șuturi | 18,01 14,08–21,93 12,99–23,02 | 12,99 9,43–16,55 8,47–17,51 | 31,00 23,51–38,49 21,46–40,54 | 79% 16% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,77 8,83–14,72 8,00–15,55 | 7,80 5,12–10,48 4,38–11,22 | 19,58 13,95–25,20 12,39–26,77 | 78% 15% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,04 3,15–6,92 2,61–7,46 | 3,75 2,10–5,40 1,61–5,90 | 8,79 5,25–12,32 4,22–13,36 | 60% 27% |
| Cornere | 6,57 4,36–8,79 3,79–9,36 | 4,96 2,96–6,96 2,43–7,50 | 11,54 7,32–15,75 6,22–16,86 | 63% 27% |
| Posesie % | 54,72 47,93–61,51 46,26–63,18 | 45,03 38,24–51,81 36,57–53,48 | — | 70% 26% |
| Pase | 487 420–554 401–572 | 385 318–451 301–469 | 871 738–1005 702–1041 | 80% 20% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,86 66,83–74,89 65,53–76,18 | 69,92 65,59–74,24 64,28–75,55 | — | 52% 43% |
| Faulturi | 10,17 7,33–13,01 6,58–13,76 | 11,80 8,86–14,75 8,11–15,49 | 21,97 16,19–27,75 14,69–29,26 | 32% 60% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,44 0,28–2,60 0,00–2,90 | 1,47 0,38–2,57 0,09–2,85 | 2,91 0,66–5,17 0,07–5,76 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,35 0,30–2,40 0,03–2,66 | 1,76 0,63–2,89 0,34–3,18 | 3,11 0,93–5,29 0,38–5,85 | 29% 23% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,22 1,79–4,66 1,40–5,05 | 4,38 2,83–5,94 2,40–6,37 | 7,61 4,62–10,60 3,80–11,41 | 27% 14% 59% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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