Eredivisie·Etapa 22·
Eredivisie·Etapa 22·Statistici estimate
Goluri
30%
23%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,381,763,14sigur0,42–2,350,91–2,611,32–4,97mai sigur0,16–2,600,68–2,840,84–5,45
Șuturi pe poartă
35%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,965,7410,70sigur3,10–6,824,00–7,487,09–14,30mai sigur2,61–7,313,53–7,956,14–15,26
Total șuturi
40%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,0415,8830,92sigur11,12–18,9712,32–19,4423,44–38,41mai sigur10,03–20,0611,36–20,4021,39–40,46
Șuturi din careu
37%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,7310,7720,50sigur6,79–12,678,09–13,4514,88–26,12mai sigur5,96–13,507,35–14,1913,31–27,69
Șuturi blocate
48%
14%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,484,128,60sigur2,59–6,362,47–5,775,06–12,13mai sigur2,05–6,901,98–6,274,03–13,17
Cornere
41%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,525,7511,27sigur3,31–7,733,75–7,757,06–15,48mai sigur2,73–8,313,22–8,295,95–16,59
Posesie %
42%
53%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,7351,15sigur41,94–55,5244,36–57,93mai sigur40,27–57,1942,69–59,60
Pase
44%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție432449880sigur364–499382–515747–1014mai sigur346–517365–533711–1050
Precizie pase %
28%
68%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,3871,48sigur63,35–71,4167,16–75,80mai sigur62,06–72,7165,85–77,11
Faulturi
50%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,8710,3621,23sigur8,03–13,717,42–13,3115,45–27,01mai sigur7,27–14,466,67–14,0513,94–28,52
Ofsaiduri
44%
24%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,661,373,03sigur0,50–2,820,28–2,460,77–5,28mai sigur0,20–3,120,00–2,750,19–5,87
Cartonașe galbene
39%
24%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,551,533,08sigur0,51–2,600,40–2,660,91–5,26mai sigur0,24–2,870,11–2,950,35–5,82
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,080,15sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,78
Parade portar
48%
15%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,883,537,41sigur2,45–5,321,98–5,094,42–10,41mai sigur2,06–5,711,55–5,513,61–11,22
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,38 0,42–2,35 0,16–2,60 | 1,76 0,91–2,61 0,68–2,84 | 3,14 1,32–4,97 0,84–5,45 | 30% 23% 46% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,96 3,10–6,82 2,61–7,31 | 5,74 4,00–7,48 3,53–7,95 | 10,70 7,09–14,30 6,14–15,26 | 35% 53% |
| Total șuturi | 15,04 11,12–18,97 10,03–20,06 | 15,88 12,32–19,44 11,36–20,40 | 30,92 23,44–38,41 21,39–40,46 | 40% 52% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,73 6,79–12,67 5,96–13,50 | 10,77 8,09–13,45 7,35–14,19 | 20,50 14,88–26,12 13,31–27,69 | 37% 55% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,48 2,59–6,36 2,05–6,90 | 4,12 2,47–5,77 1,98–6,27 | 8,60 5,06–12,13 4,03–13,17 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Cornere | 5,52 3,31–7,73 2,73–8,31 | 5,75 3,75–7,75 3,22–8,29 | 11,27 7,06–15,48 5,95–16,59 | 41% 47% |
| Posesie % | 48,73 41,94–55,52 40,27–57,19 | 51,15 44,36–57,93 42,69–59,60 | — | 42% 53% |
| Pase | 432 364–499 346–517 | 449 382–515 365–533 | 880 747–1014 711–1050 | 44% 55% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,38 63,35–71,41 62,06–72,71 | 71,48 67,16–75,80 65,85–77,11 | — | 28% 68% |
| Faulturi | 10,87 8,03–13,71 7,27–14,46 | 10,36 7,42–13,31 6,67–14,05 | 21,23 15,45–27,01 13,94–28,52 | 50% 41% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,66 0,50–2,82 0,20–3,12 | 1,37 0,28–2,46 0,00–2,75 | 3,03 0,77–5,28 0,19–5,87 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,55 0,51–2,60 0,24–2,87 | 1,53 0,40–2,66 0,11–2,95 | 3,08 0,91–5,26 0,35–5,82 | 39% 24% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 3,88 2,45–5,32 2,06–5,71 | 3,53 1,98–5,09 1,55–5,51 | 7,41 4,42–10,41 3,61–11,22 | 48% 15% 38% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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