Eredivisie·Etapa 10·
Eredivisie·Etapa 10·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
26%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,331,282,62sigur0,36–2,300,43–2,140,79–4,44mai sigur0,11–2,550,20–2,370,31–4,92
Șuturi pe poartă
45%
14%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,404,298,69sigur2,54–6,262,55–6,035,09–12,30mai sigur2,05–6,752,08–6,504,13–13,25
Total șuturi
55%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,7512,5826,33sigur9,82–17,679,02–16,1418,84–33,81mai sigur8,73–18,768,06–17,1016,79–35,86
Șuturi din careu
48%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,708,4217,13sigur5,76–11,655,74–11,1011,50–22,75mai sigur4,93–12,485,00–11,849,94–24,32
Șuturi blocate
44%
15%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,673,567,23sigur1,79–5,551,91–5,213,69–10,76mai sigur1,24–6,091,41–5,702,66–11,80
Cornere
40%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,145,4410,58sigur2,92–7,353,44–7,446,37–14,80mai sigur2,35–7,932,91–7,985,26–15,90
Posesie %
50%
45%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,9349,86sigur44,14–57,7243,07–56,64mai sigur42,47–59,3941,40–58,31
Pase
57%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție436415851sigur369–503348–481717–984mai sigur351–521331–499681–1020
Precizie pase %
28%
67%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,2571,22sigur63,22–71,2866,90–75,55mai sigur61,93–72,5865,59–76,85
Faulturi
29%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,2412,3722,62sigur7,41–13,089,43–15,3216,84–28,40mai sigur6,65–13,848,68–16,0715,33–29,91
Ofsaiduri
40%
23%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,701,643,34sigur0,54–2,860,55–2,731,09–5,59mai sigur0,24–3,160,26–3,020,50–6,18
Cartonașe galbene
34%
22%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,581,823,41sigur0,53–2,630,69–2,951,23–5,58mai sigur0,27–2,900,40–3,240,67–6,14
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,100,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,280,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,420,00–0,81
Parade portar
42%
17%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,942,915,85sigur1,51–4,381,35–4,472,86–8,84mai sigur1,12–4,770,93–4,892,05–9,65
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,33 0,36–2,30 0,11–2,55 | 1,28 0,43–2,14 0,20–2,37 | 2,62 0,79–4,44 0,31–4,92 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,40 2,54–6,26 2,05–6,75 | 4,29 2,55–6,03 2,08–6,50 | 8,69 5,09–12,30 4,13–13,25 | 45% 14% 42% |
| Total șuturi | 13,75 9,82–17,67 8,73–18,76 | 12,58 9,02–16,14 8,06–17,10 | 26,33 18,84–33,81 16,79–35,86 | 55% 37% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,70 5,76–11,65 4,93–12,48 | 8,42 5,74–11,10 5,00–11,84 | 17,13 11,50–22,75 9,94–24,32 | 48% 42% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,67 1,79–5,55 1,24–6,09 | 3,56 1,91–5,21 1,41–5,70 | 7,23 3,69–10,76 2,66–11,80 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Cornere | 5,14 2,92–7,35 2,35–7,93 | 5,44 3,44–7,44 2,91–7,98 | 10,58 6,37–14,80 5,26–15,90 | 40% 48% |
| Posesie % | 50,93 44,14–57,72 42,47–59,39 | 49,86 43,07–56,64 41,40–58,31 | — | 50% 45% |
| Pase | 436 369–503 351–521 | 415 348–481 331–499 | 851 717–984 681–1020 | 57% 43% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,25 63,22–71,28 61,93–72,58 | 71,22 66,90–75,55 65,59–76,85 | — | 28% 67% |
| Faulturi | 10,24 7,41–13,08 6,65–13,84 | 12,37 9,43–15,32 8,68–16,07 | 22,62 16,84–28,40 15,33–29,91 | 29% 63% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,70 0,54–2,86 0,24–3,16 | 1,64 0,55–2,73 0,26–3,02 | 3,34 1,09–5,59 0,50–6,18 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,58 0,53–2,63 0,27–2,90 | 1,82 0,69–2,95 0,40–3,24 | 3,41 1,23–5,58 0,67–6,14 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,94 1,51–4,38 1,12–4,77 | 2,91 1,35–4,47 0,93–4,89 | 5,85 2,86–8,84 2,05–9,65 | 42% 17% 41% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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