Eredivisie·Etapa 20·
Eredivisie·Etapa 20·Statistici estimate
Goluri
46%
25%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,571,192,76sigur0,60–2,530,34–2,050,93–4,58mai sigur0,35–2,780,11–2,270,45–5,06
Șuturi pe poartă
57%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,244,169,41sigur3,38–7,112,42–5,915,80–13,01mai sigur2,89–7,601,96–6,374,85–13,97
Total șuturi
72%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,0812,4028,47sigur12,15–20,008,84–15,9620,99–35,96mai sigur11,06–21,097,88–16,9218,94–38,01
Șuturi din careu
71%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,617,7618,37sigur7,67–13,555,08–10,4412,75–23,99mai sigur6,84–14,384,34–11,1811,18–25,56
Șuturi blocate
51%
15%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,003,457,45sigur2,12–5,881,80–5,103,92–10,99mai sigur1,58–6,431,31–5,602,88–12,02
Cornere
60%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,884,5710,44sigur3,66–8,092,57–6,576,23–14,66mai sigur3,09–8,662,03–7,105,12–15,76
Posesie %
60%
35%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,7847,27sigur45,98–59,5740,49–54,06mai sigur44,32–61,2438,82–55,73
Pase
64%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție464420884sigur397–531353–486750–1017mai sigur379–550336–504714–1053
Precizie pase %
50%
45%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,5369,12sigur65,50–73,5664,80–73,45mai sigur64,21–74,8563,49–74,76
Faulturi
46%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,4611,4322,89sigur8,62–14,308,48–14,3717,10–28,67mai sigur7,87–15,057,73–15,1215,60–30,17
Ofsaiduri
40%
23%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,711,623,33sigur0,55–2,870,53–2,711,07–5,58mai sigur0,24–3,170,24–3,000,48–6,17
Cartonașe galbene
32%
23%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,501,833,32sigur0,45–2,550,70–2,951,15–5,50mai sigur0,18–2,810,40–3,250,59–6,06
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,100,17sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
28%
15%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,633,606,23sigur1,20–4,072,04–5,163,24–9,23mai sigur0,81–4,461,62–5,582,43–10,04
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,57 0,60–2,53 0,35–2,78 | 1,19 0,34–2,05 0,11–2,27 | 2,76 0,93–4,58 0,45–5,06 | 46% 25% 29% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,24 3,38–7,11 2,89–7,60 | 4,16 2,42–5,91 1,96–6,37 | 9,41 5,80–13,01 4,85–13,97 | 57% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 16,08 12,15–20,00 11,06–21,09 | 12,40 8,84–15,96 7,88–16,92 | 28,47 20,99–35,96 18,94–38,01 | 72% 22% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,61 7,67–13,55 6,84–14,38 | 7,76 5,08–10,44 4,34–11,18 | 18,37 12,75–23,99 11,18–25,56 | 71% 22% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,00 2,12–5,88 1,58–6,43 | 3,45 1,80–5,10 1,31–5,60 | 7,45 3,92–10,99 2,88–12,02 | 51% 15% 35% |
| Cornere | 5,88 3,66–8,09 3,09–8,66 | 4,57 2,57–6,57 2,03–7,10 | 10,44 6,23–14,66 5,12–15,76 | 60% 29% |
| Posesie % | 52,78 45,98–59,57 44,32–61,24 | 47,27 40,49–54,06 38,82–55,73 | — | 60% 35% |
| Pase | 464 397–531 379–550 | 420 353–486 336–504 | 884 750–1017 714–1053 | 64% 35% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,53 65,50–73,56 64,21–74,85 | 69,12 64,80–73,45 63,49–74,76 | — | 50% 45% |
| Faulturi | 11,46 8,62–14,30 7,87–15,05 | 11,43 8,48–14,37 7,73–15,12 | 22,89 17,10–28,67 15,60–30,17 | 46% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,71 0,55–2,87 0,24–3,17 | 1,62 0,53–2,71 0,24–3,00 | 3,33 1,07–5,58 0,48–6,17 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,50 0,45–2,55 0,18–2,81 | 1,83 0,70–2,95 0,40–3,25 | 3,32 1,15–5,50 0,59–6,06 | 32% 23% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,63 1,20–4,07 0,81–4,46 | 3,60 2,04–5,16 1,62–5,58 | 6,23 3,24–9,23 2,43–10,04 | 28% 15% 57% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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