Eredivisie·Etapa 11·
Eredivisie·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
60%
20%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,131,153,28sigur1,17–3,100,29–2,001,46–5,10mai sigur0,91–3,350,06–2,230,98–5,58
Șuturi pe poartă
70%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,184,0310,21sigur4,31–8,042,29–5,786,60–13,81mai sigur3,82–8,531,83–6,245,65–14,77
Total șuturi
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,6311,3428,97sigur13,70–21,557,78–14,9021,48–36,45mai sigur12,61–22,646,82–15,8619,43–38,50
Șuturi din careu
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,656,7418,40sigur8,71–14,594,06–9,4212,77–24,02mai sigur7,88–15,423,33–10,1611,21–25,59
Șuturi blocate
68%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,873,057,91sigur2,98–6,751,39–4,704,38–11,45mai sigur2,44–7,290,90–5,193,34–12,48
Cornere
73%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,413,9710,38sigur4,19–8,621,97–5,976,16–14,59mai sigur3,62–9,191,44–6,505,06–15,70
Posesie %
75%
21%
gazdeoaspețipredicție56,2443,66sigur49,45–63,0336,87–50,44mai sigur47,78–64,7035,20–52,11
Pase
82%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție516408924sigur449–583341–474790–1058mai sigur431–601324–492755–1093
Precizie pase %
66%
30%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,1772,55sigur72,14–80,2068,22–76,87mai sigur70,85–81,4966,91–78,18
Faulturi
42%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0611,4722,54sigur8,23–13,908,53–14,4216,76–28,32mai sigur7,47–14,667,78–15,1715,25–29,83
Ofsaiduri
39%
22%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,821,823,64sigur0,66–2,980,73–2,921,39–5,90mai sigur0,36–3,280,44–3,200,80–6,49
Cartonașe galbene
32%
22%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,541,893,43sigur0,49–2,590,76–3,021,25–5,61mai sigur0,22–2,850,47–3,310,69–6,17
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,070,080,15sigur0,00–0,230,00–0,270,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,380,00–0,400,00–0,78
Parade portar
24%
14%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,713,996,71sigur1,28–4,152,44–5,553,71–9,70mai sigur0,89–4,542,01–5,982,90–10,51
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,13 1,17–3,10 0,91–3,35 | 1,15 0,29–2,00 0,06–2,23 | 3,28 1,46–5,10 0,98–5,58 | 60% 20% 20% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,18 4,31–8,04 3,82–8,53 | 4,03 2,29–5,78 1,83–6,24 | 10,21 6,60–13,81 5,65–14,77 | 70% 20% |
| Total șuturi | 17,63 13,70–21,55 12,61–22,64 | 11,34 7,78–14,90 6,82–15,86 | 28,97 21,48–36,45 19,43–38,50 | 86% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,65 8,71–14,59 7,88–15,42 | 6,74 4,06–9,42 3,33–10,16 | 18,40 12,77–24,02 11,21–25,59 | 85% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,87 2,98–6,75 2,44–7,29 | 3,05 1,39–4,70 0,90–5,19 | 7,91 4,38–11,45 3,34–12,48 | 68% 20% |
| Cornere | 6,41 4,19–8,62 3,62–9,19 | 3,97 1,97–5,97 1,44–6,50 | 10,38 6,16–14,59 5,06–15,70 | 73% 18% |
| Posesie % | 56,24 49,45–63,03 47,78–64,70 | 43,66 36,87–50,44 35,20–52,11 | — | 75% 21% |
| Pase | 516 449–583 431–601 | 408 341–474 324–492 | 924 790–1058 755–1093 | 82% 18% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,17 72,14–80,20 70,85–81,49 | 72,55 68,22–76,87 66,91–78,18 | — | 66% 30% |
| Faulturi | 11,06 8,23–13,90 7,47–14,66 | 11,47 8,53–14,42 7,78–15,17 | 22,54 16,76–28,32 15,25–29,83 | 42% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,82 0,66–2,98 0,36–3,28 | 1,82 0,73–2,92 0,44–3,20 | 3,64 1,39–5,90 0,80–6,49 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,54 0,49–2,59 0,22–2,85 | 1,89 0,76–3,02 0,47–3,31 | 3,43 1,25–5,61 0,69–6,17 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,07 0,00–0,23 0,00–0,38 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,71 1,28–4,15 0,89–4,54 | 3,99 2,44–5,55 2,01–5,98 | 6,71 3,71–9,70 2,90–10,51 | 24% 14% 62% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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