Eredivisie·Etapa 29·
Eredivisie·Etapa 29·Statistici estimate
Goluri
27%
23%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,291,813,10sigur0,33–2,260,95–2,661,28–4,93mai sigur0,07–2,510,73–2,890,80–5,40
Șuturi pe poartă
32%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,575,5510,12sigur2,70–6,433,81–7,296,51–13,72mai sigur2,22–6,923,34–7,765,56–14,68
Total șuturi
36%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9415,3329,26sigur10,01–17,8611,76–18,8921,78–36,75mai sigur8,92–18,9510,80–19,8519,73–38,80
Șuturi din careu
30%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,4810,2318,72sigur5,54–11,437,55–12,9113,09–24,34mai sigur4,71–12,266,81–13,6511,53–25,91
Șuturi blocate
33%
14%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,884,618,48sigur1,99–5,762,95–6,264,95–12,02mai sigur1,45–6,302,46–6,753,91–13,05
Cornere
29%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,475,6810,15sigur2,26–6,683,68–7,685,94–14,36mai sigur1,68–7,263,15–8,224,83–15,47
Posesie %
26%
70%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,3355,01sigur38,54–52,1248,23–61,80mai sigur36,87–53,7946,56–63,47
Pase
31%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție430488918sigur363–497421–554784–1051mai sigur345–516404–572748–1087
Precizie pase %
14%
83%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,4277,29sigur65,39–73,4572,96–81,61mai sigur64,09–74,7471,65–82,92
Faulturi
44%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0311,2822,31sigur8,19–13,878,33–14,2216,52–28,09mai sigur7,43–14,627,59–14,9715,02–29,59
Ofsaiduri
45%
22%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,861,573,42sigur0,69–3,020,47–2,661,17–5,68mai sigur0,39–3,320,19–2,950,58–6,26
Cartonașe galbene
35%
22%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,611,813,42sigur0,56–2,660,68–2,941,24–5,60mai sigur0,29–2,930,39–3,230,68–6,15
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,090,17sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,270,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,410,00–0,80
Parade portar
53%
15%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,753,066,82sigur2,32–5,191,51–4,623,82–9,81mai sigur1,93–5,581,08–5,053,01–10,62
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,29 0,33–2,26 0,07–2,51 | 1,81 0,95–2,66 0,73–2,89 | 3,10 1,28–4,93 0,80–5,40 | 27% 23% 50% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,57 2,70–6,43 2,22–6,92 | 5,55 3,81–7,29 3,34–7,76 | 10,12 6,51–13,72 5,56–14,68 | 32% 56% |
| Total șuturi | 13,94 10,01–17,86 8,92–18,95 | 15,33 11,76–18,89 10,80–19,85 | 29,26 21,78–36,75 19,73–38,80 | 36% 56% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,48 5,54–11,43 4,71–12,26 | 10,23 7,55–12,91 6,81–13,65 | 18,72 13,09–24,34 11,53–25,91 | 30% 61% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,88 1,99–5,76 1,45–6,30 | 4,61 2,95–6,26 2,46–6,75 | 8,48 4,95–12,02 3,91–13,05 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Cornere | 4,47 2,26–6,68 1,68–7,26 | 5,68 3,68–7,68 3,15–8,22 | 10,15 5,94–14,36 4,83–15,47 | 29% 59% |
| Posesie % | 45,33 38,54–52,12 36,87–53,79 | 55,01 48,23–61,80 46,56–63,47 | — | 26% 70% |
| Pase | 430 363–497 345–516 | 488 421–554 404–572 | 918 784–1051 748–1087 | 31% 68% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,42 65,39–73,45 64,09–74,74 | 77,29 72,96–81,61 71,65–82,92 | — | 14% 83% |
| Faulturi | 11,03 8,19–13,87 7,43–14,62 | 11,28 8,33–14,22 7,59–14,97 | 22,31 16,52–28,09 15,02–29,59 | 44% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,86 0,69–3,02 0,39–3,32 | 1,57 0,47–2,66 0,19–2,95 | 3,42 1,17–5,68 0,58–6,26 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,61 0,56–2,66 0,29–2,93 | 1,81 0,68–2,94 0,39–3,23 | 3,42 1,24–5,60 0,68–6,15 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 3,75 2,32–5,19 1,93–5,58 | 3,06 1,51–4,62 1,08–5,05 | 6,82 3,82–9,81 3,01–10,62 | 53% 15% 32% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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