Eredivisie·Etapa 11·
Eredivisie·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
34%
25%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,361,522,89sigur0,39–2,330,67–2,381,06–4,71mai sigur0,14–2,580,44–2,610,58–5,19
Șuturi pe poartă
35%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,495,199,68sigur2,62–6,353,45–6,936,07–13,28mai sigur2,13–6,842,98–7,405,12–14,24
Total șuturi
34%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,9014,5027,39sigur8,97–16,8210,93–18,0619,91–34,88mai sigur7,88–17,929,97–19,0217,86–36,93
Șuturi din careu
28%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,2110,1818,39sigur5,27–11,167,50–12,8612,77–24,01mai sigur4,44–11,996,76–13,6011,20–25,58
Șuturi blocate
47%
15%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,873,547,40sigur1,98–5,751,88–5,193,87–10,94mai sigur1,44–6,291,39–5,682,83–11,97
Cornere
39%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,865,2410,10sigur2,65–7,083,24–7,245,89–14,31mai sigur2,08–7,652,71–7,774,78–15,42
Posesie %
36%
59%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,6152,53sigur40,82–54,4045,74–59,31mai sigur39,15–56,0744,07–60,98
Pase
42%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție426449875sigur358–493383–516741–1009mai sigur340–511365–533706–1044
Precizie pase %
24%
72%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,6972,76sigur63,66–71,7268,44–77,09mai sigur62,37–73,0167,13–78,39
Faulturi
43%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,2212,5924,81sigur9,38–15,069,64–15,5319,03–30,59mai sigur8,63–15,818,90–16,2817,52–32,10
Ofsaiduri
39%
25%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,471,392,86sigur0,31–2,630,30–2,490,61–5,12mai sigur0,01–2,930,01–2,780,02–5,71
Cartonașe galbene
32%
21%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,652,043,69sigur0,60–2,700,91–3,171,51–5,86mai sigur0,33–2,960,62–3,460,95–6,42
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,080,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,400,00–0,78
Parade portar
49%
16%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,523,066,58sigur2,08–4,951,50–4,623,58–9,57mai sigur1,69–5,341,08–5,042,77–10,38
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,36 0,39–2,33 0,14–2,58 | 1,52 0,67–2,38 0,44–2,61 | 2,89 1,06–4,71 0,58–5,19 | 34% 25% 41% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,49 2,62–6,35 2,13–6,84 | 5,19 3,45–6,93 2,98–7,40 | 9,68 6,07–13,28 5,12–14,24 | 35% 53% |
| Total șuturi | 12,90 8,97–16,82 7,88–17,92 | 14,50 10,93–18,06 9,97–19,02 | 27,39 19,91–34,88 17,86–36,93 | 34% 58% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,21 5,27–11,16 4,44–11,99 | 10,18 7,50–12,86 6,76–13,60 | 18,39 12,77–24,01 11,20–25,58 | 28% 63% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,87 1,98–5,75 1,44–6,29 | 3,54 1,88–5,19 1,39–5,68 | 7,40 3,87–10,94 2,83–11,97 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Cornere | 4,86 2,65–7,08 2,08–7,65 | 5,24 3,24–7,24 2,71–7,77 | 10,10 5,89–14,31 4,78–15,42 | 39% 48% |
| Posesie % | 47,61 40,82–54,40 39,15–56,07 | 52,53 45,74–59,31 44,07–60,98 | — | 36% 59% |
| Pase | 426 358–493 340–511 | 449 383–516 365–533 | 875 741–1009 706–1044 | 42% 58% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,69 63,66–71,72 62,37–73,01 | 72,76 68,44–77,09 67,13–78,39 | — | 24% 72% |
| Faulturi | 12,22 9,38–15,06 8,63–15,81 | 12,59 9,64–15,53 8,90–16,28 | 24,81 19,03–30,59 17,52–32,10 | 43% 49% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,47 0,31–2,63 0,01–2,93 | 1,39 0,30–2,49 0,01–2,78 | 2,86 0,61–5,12 0,02–5,71 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,65 0,60–2,70 0,33–2,96 | 2,04 0,91–3,17 0,62–3,46 | 3,69 1,51–5,86 0,95–6,42 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,08 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,40 | 0,15 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,52 2,08–4,95 1,69–5,34 | 3,06 1,50–4,62 1,08–5,04 | 6,58 3,58–9,57 2,77–10,38 | 49% 16% 35% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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